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华鑫证券:给予金诚信买入评级
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-09-03 04:17
Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the strong growth in copper production and sales for Jinchengxin (603979), with a positive outlook for future growth, leading to a "buy" rating for the company [1][7]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, Jinchengxin achieved operating revenue of 6.316 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 47.82% - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.111 billion yuan, up 81.29% year-on-year - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 1.088 billion yuan, an increase of 78.51% year-on-year - The net cash flow from operating activities was 1.726 billion yuan, a significant increase of 255.08% year-on-year [2]. Mining Services - The mining services segment saw a revenue of 3.32 billion yuan in H1 2025, a slight increase of 0.57% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 23.10%, down 4.98 percentage points - Q1 revenue was 1.5 billion yuan, down 3.29% year-on-year, while Q2 revenue improved to 1.82 billion yuan, up 3.98% year-on-year - The decline in Q1 revenue was attributed to the transition of Lubambe Copper Mine's operations to internal management, reducing mining service income [3]. Copper and Phosphate Resource Development - The copper and phosphate resource development segment reported revenue of 2.91 billion yuan in H1 2025, a remarkable increase of 238.03% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 47.68%, up 4.91 percentage points - Copper production reached 39,400 tons, a year-on-year increase of 198.52%, while copper sales were 43,900 tons, up 247.65% - Phosphate rock production was 174,000 tons, up 6.48% year-on-year, with sales of 169,000 tons, a slight increase of 0.96% [4]. Incremental Projects - The company has invested approximately 54.89 million USD in the ongoing technical transformation of the Lubambe Copper Mine, which has a designed capacity of 2.5 million tons per year - Additionally, the company plans to invest 75.13 million USD in the development of the Lonshi Copper Mine East Zone, with a designed mining capacity of 2.5 to 3.5 million tons per year and a construction period of 4.5 years [5]. Profit Forecast - The company forecasts operating revenues of 12.76 billion yuan, 14.09 billion yuan, and 15.39 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively - The net profits attributable to shareholders are projected to be 2.245 billion yuan, 2.681 billion yuan, and 3.044 billion yuan for the same years - The current stock price corresponds to price-to-earnings ratios of 18.2, 15.2, and 13.4 times for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6].