人民财讯8月7日电，中信建投（601066）认为，在全球矿山行业资本开支上行趋势下，矿山机械行业景 气度提升，海外矿机公司营收、订单延续高位水平。在千亿美元大市场的孕育下，已诞生卡特彼勒、小 松等营收百亿美元的矿机公司。在此背景下，我国矿机公司加速追赶，通过服务团队出海、配套仓储物 流出海、产能出海等方式积极响应矿山资本开支上行浪潮，凭借自身产品竞争力的不断提升加速获取海 外市场份额，打破由于国内矿山资源禀赋有限所带来的发展瓶颈，在原本海外矿机垄断的高端市场中占 据一席之地。远期展望，矿山机械出海方兴未艾，在充足市场空间的支撑下，我国矿机公司有望向海外 矿机公司规模看齐，实现快速增长。 ...

Group 1 - The global mining industry is experiencing an upward trend in capital expenditure, leading to an increase in the mining machinery sector's prosperity, with overseas mining machinery companies maintaining high revenue and order levels [1][2] - Major mineral prices, such as copper and aluminum, are stable or rising, which is expected to support mining demand and capital expenditure in the medium to long term [2] - The mining machinery market is vast, with a global market size exceeding $120 billion, where the aftermarket accounts for 60%-70% of the total market [2] Group 2 - Chinese mining machinery companies are accelerating their efforts to capture overseas markets by enhancing product competitiveness and establishing benchmark projects [1][2] - The investment recommendation includes companies like XCMG, Shantui, SANY International, and Tongli, which are positioned well in the market due to their scale and innovation [3]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a slight increase in revenue and net profit for Q1 2025, indicating stable performance despite challenges in the market [1] Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue reached 2.193 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.72% - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 91 million yuan, up 1.28% year-on-year - The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 82 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.97% [1] Operational Analysis - The company recognized asset impairment losses totaling 78.06 million yuan in Q1 2025, primarily due to credit impairment losses of 78.04 million yuan, which impacted performance [2] - In 2024, the company achieved overseas revenue of 1.838 billion yuan, a decline of 13.91% year-on-year, but maintained a higher gross margin of 29.19% compared to 8.43 percentage points higher than domestic gross margin [2] - The company reported over 80% year-on-year growth in effective overseas orders in 2024, with total effective orders reaching a historical high [2] - The anticipated interest rate cuts in both the US and China in 2025 are expected to boost the mining machinery industry's outlook, with the company actively enhancing its international strategic layout [2] Future Prospects - The company is focused on the development and application of heavy mining equipment and special robots, aiming to improve operational efficiency and safety in mining through advanced technology [3] - A key national research project on "Intelligent Robots" has been initiated, targeting innovations in mobile heavy-duty intelligent high-altitude operation robot systems for bulk cargo handling, which is expected to broaden the application of special robots [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 501 million yuan, 596 million yuan, and 721 million yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, corresponding to current price-to-earnings ratios of 41X, 34X, and 28X respectively [4] - Given the growth prospects in mining machinery exports and the promising future of special robots, the company maintains a "Buy" rating [4]