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金诚信(603979):铜矿产量继续提升,矿服逐季改善
Minsheng Securities· 2025-10-29 11:15
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% relative to the benchmark index within the next 12 months [4][10]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 9.933 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 42.50%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.753 billion yuan, up 60.37% year-on-year [1]. - The mining service segment's revenue for the first three quarters was 5.26 billion yuan, a 7.92% increase year-on-year, although gross profit decreased by 13.93% due to various factors including project transitions and operational disruptions [2]. - Copper production continued to rise, with a total output of 64,000 tons in the first three quarters of 2025, a 101% increase year-on-year, while sales reached 68,000 tons, up 123% year-on-year [3]. - The report highlights the dual growth drivers of the mining service and resource segments, with expectations for continued strong performance in both areas [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 3.617 billion yuan, a 34.07% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 642 million yuan, reflecting a 33.68% year-on-year growth [1]. - The mining service segment's gross profit showed a gradual improvement over the quarters, with figures of 346 million, 421 million, and 429 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025 [2]. Production and Sales - Copper production in Q3 2025 was 24,600 tons, a 32% increase year-on-year and a 12% increase quarter-on-quarter, while sales were 24,300 tons, a 35% increase year-on-year but a slight decrease of 3% quarter-on-quarter [3]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to see continued growth in both the mining service and resource segments, with new projects and expansions contributing to revenue increases [4]. - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 project net profits of 2.342 billion, 2.745 billion, and 3.279 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 18, 15, and 13 [4][5].