碳纤维景气触底反弹
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吉林化纤(000420):公司简评报告:粘胶长丝盈利稳定,碳纤维景气有望触底反弹
Capital Securities· 2025-10-14 13:31
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Add" [1] Core Views - The profitability of viscose filament remains stable, and the carbon fiber industry is expected to rebound from its low point [4] - The company reported a revenue of 2.635 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 48.39%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 22 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 45.08% [6] - The viscose filament segment continues to be the main source of profit for the company, contributing 1.484 billion yuan in revenue in the first half of 2025, accounting for 56.3% of total revenue [6] - The carbon fiber segment has shown significant growth, with revenue reaching 443 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 368.31% [6] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 56 million yuan, 110 million yuan, and 188 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.02, 0.04, and 0.08 yuan [6] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 3.883 billion yuan in 2024, 5.340 billion yuan in 2025, 5.775 billion yuan in 2026, and 6.282 billion yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 3.9%, 37.5%, 8.1%, and 8.8% respectively [5] - The company's net profit is projected to grow significantly, with a forecasted increase of 102.2% in 2025 and 96.0% in 2026 [5] - The current price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is 1,085.98, with future PE ratios expected to decrease to 183, 93, and 54 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5]