磷矿石紧平衡
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磷矿石“紧平衡”难破 头部企业谋求产业链垂直整合
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-12-04 17:52
Core Viewpoint - The price of phosphate rock remains high due to a sustained increase in chemical prices, leading to a surge in resource acquisition and capacity integration among listed companies in the industry [1][2]. Group 1: Phosphate Rock Prices and Market Dynamics - As of December 2, the average market price for 30% grade phosphate rock in China is 1016 CNY/ton, while 28% and 25% grades are priced at 945 CNY/ton and 758 CNY/ton respectively [1]. - Industry insiders predict that phosphate rock prices will maintain a "tight balance" in the short term, benefiting companies with a complete "mining and processing" integrated industrial chain [1][2]. Group 2: Company Developments and Resource Acquisition - Baitian Co. announced the approval of its Xiaogaozai phosphate mine expansion project, increasing its capacity from 200,000 tons/year to 290,000 tons/year, which will enhance its phosphate output and optimize its upstream and downstream industries [2]. - Xingfa Group has acquired exploration rights for the Yangliudong mining area and is progressing with mining preparations for its subsidiary, which has obtained a mining license for 200,000 tons/year [2]. Group 3: Resource Acquisition Strategies - Companies are utilizing various strategies for resource acquisition, including "major shareholder support models" where controlling shareholders inject quality phosphate resources into listed companies [3]. - Market-based mergers and acquisitions are also prevalent, with companies like Xingfa Group and Dongfang Tieta actively expanding their equity production through acquisitions [3]. Group 4: Supply and Demand Outlook - Despite concerns about potential oversupply from new capacities, the phosphate supply is expected to remain in a "tight balance" due to constraints in transitioning from mining rights to effective supply [4][5]. - The demand from the renewable energy sector, particularly for lithium iron phosphate, is projected to increase, potentially driving up phosphate demand in the coming years [5][6]. Group 5: Financial Performance of Key Players - Companies with phosphate resources and integrated industrial chains, such as Baitian Co. and Chuanjin Nuo, have reported significant profit increases, with net profits growing by 236.13% and 175.61% respectively in the first three quarters of the year [7]. - The focus on resource acquisition and integration is seen as a critical factor for future performance, with companies aiming to secure more quality phosphate resources through various strategies [7]. Group 6: International Expansion and Industry Trends - Some leading chemical companies are looking to overseas phosphate resources, with Hebang Biological planning to invest in Australian phosphate resources to enhance its production capabilities [8]. - The consensus in the industry is that companies with scarce phosphate resources and integrated operations will have a competitive advantage in the long term, driving the industry towards sustainable development [8].