投资要点 事件：云天化发布2025 半年报，25H1 实现营收249.92 亿元，同比减少21.88%；归母净利润27.61 亿 元，同比下降2.81%；扣非归母净利润26.96 亿元，同比下降3.38%；毛利率19.16%，同比提升2.55pct。 单季度看，25Q2 实现营收119.88亿元，同比减少33.90%，环比减少7.82%；归母净利润14.72 亿元，同 比增长6.52%，环比增长14.15%；扣非归母净利润14.26亿元，同比增长5.23%，环比增长12.26%；毛利 率21.25%，同比提升6.56pct，环比提升4.02pct。 产销稳中有增，业绩在多因素影响下持续稳定。25H1 公司磷肥、复合（混）肥、尿素、聚甲醛、黄 磷、饲料级磷酸氢钙收入分别为69.95、31.26、25.69、5.95、2.23、10.36 亿元，同比变化-14.40%、 6.00%、-17.12%、-5.88%、23.68%、14.47%；销量分别为221.91、98.33、146.49、5.58、1.08、25.29 万 吨，同比变化-6.67%、-0.47%、2.83%、2.20%、22.73%、-5.49% ...

Investment Rating - Investment rating for the basic chemical industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes that the price of phosphate rock remains high, and the supply-demand dynamics are expected to continue to support this trend. The performance of listed companies in the phosphate chemical sector, such as Yuntianhua and Chuanheng Co., has been strong, with significant dividends expected [4][14] - The report maintains the view that barriers to phosphate mining and selection are increasing, which may lead to lower-than-expected supply growth, keeping price levels elevated. The optimization of the product structure in the phosphate chemical sector is expected to help companies maintain stable operations and enhance cash dividend capabilities [4][14] Resource Side - In 2024, China's phosphate rock reserves are approximately 3.7 billion tons, a decrease of 1 million tons year-on-year, representing a decline of 2.6%. The domestic phosphate rock production in 2024 is projected to be 113.52 million tons, an increase of 8.2% year-on-year [5][16] - The report forecasts limited new supply of phosphate rock from 2025 to 2026, with domestic production expected to reach 120.38 million tons in 2025, 136.33 million tons in 2026, and 151.73 million tons in 2027 [5][32] Product Side - The supply of phosphate ammonium and feed-grade calcium phosphate is optimizing, with wet-process phosphoric acid production continuing to increase. The demand for wet-process phosphoric acid is expected to rise steadily, reaching a 17.3% share of phosphate rock demand in 2024, up from previous years [5][36] - The report highlights that the domestic phosphate ammonium market is experiencing limited new capacity, with the CR5 capacity shares for various types of phosphate ammonium being 71%, 30%, and 44% respectively [5][35] Supply-Demand Matching - The report anticipates that the supply-demand balance for phosphate rock will remain tight in 2025, with consumption expected to be 98.3% of production. The supply-demand situation is expected to ease slightly in 2026 and 2027 [6][32] Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The report recommends companies with integrated mining and processing capabilities, such as Xingfa Group and Yuntianhua, as potential investment targets due to their strong operational performance and dividend potential [4][14]

Group 1: Company Overview - Sichuan Development Longmang Co., Ltd. introduced its main business, strategic planning, core advantages, and recent major projects [3] Group 2: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of CNY 8.178 billion, with international sales contributing CNY 971 million, accounting for 11.88% of total revenue [4] - The company produced 409,600 tons of industrial-grade monoammonium phosphate in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 18.98% [5] - The company’s phosphate ore resources are approximately 130 million tons, with a production of 2.2493 million tons in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 16.01% [7] Group 3: Market and Product Insights - The demand for industrial-grade monoammonium phosphate is expected to continue growing due to its applications in high-end water-soluble fertilizers and lithium iron phosphate precursor materials [5] - The company exports to around 50 countries, with the U.S. accounting for only 0.11% of total revenue, indicating minimal impact from tariffs [4] Group 4: Strategic Acquisitions - The company is in the process of acquiring 60% of Tianbao Company, a leading player in the feed-grade dicalcium phosphate industry, which will enhance its competitive edge [6] - The company secured a 10% stake in Tianmeng Mining, which includes the Xiaogou phosphate mine with an estimated resource of 401 million tons and a designed production capacity of 5.5 million tons per year [9] Group 5: Talent Management - The company emphasizes talent as a core competitive advantage and has implemented multiple equity incentive plans to attract and retain talent [9]

Core Viewpoint - The company is focusing on the development of its mining projects, particularly the Duolong Copper Mine, which is expected to drive future profitability despite current challenges in the phosphoric chemical sector and other metal processing businesses [2][4][7]. Group 1: Company Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 822 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.04% from 714 million yuan [7][13]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was -35.93 million yuan, a significant decline of 556.33% compared to -5.47 million yuan in the same period last year [7][13]. - The gross profit margin was reported at 1.58%, indicating challenges in maintaining profitability [13]. Group 2: Mining Projects - The company is actively promoting the "exploration to mining" transition for the Duolong Copper Mine, with all necessary reports and applications for mining rights being processed [2][4]. - The Duolong Copper Mine is expected to be a major driver of future profit growth, alongside investments in copper and zinc mining projects [4][6]. Group 3: Phosphate Chemical Sector - The company is addressing key challenges in the phosphate chemical sector, including raw material supply and market expansion, by leveraging its controlling shareholder's resources and seeking acquisitions [5]. - The company plans to enhance its product offerings and expand into new markets while utilizing by-products like phosphogypsum in cement production [5]. Group 4: Financial Strategies - The company is in the process of issuing 609.6 million shares to its controlling shareholder, aiming to raise approximately 285.29 million yuan for debt repayment and working capital [9]. - The company is focused on optimizing its production organization and supply chain to improve financial performance and reduce costs [8]. Group 5: Market Sentiment - The company's stock has experienced significant volatility, with a maximum decline of over 40% in the past six months, attributed to various external factors [10]. - The company is committed to enhancing market management and has seen an increase in the number of shareholders from 58,616 at the end of 2024 to 60,885 by March 31, 2025 [11].

Core Insights - The company has abundant phosphate resources and advanced wet-process phosphoric acid production technology [1][2] - The company is a market leader in feed-grade dicalcium phosphate [3] - The company has strong performance growth, with significant revenue and profit increases [6] Phosphate Resource and Production - The company is primarily engaged in the mining of phosphate rock and the production and sale of phosphate chemical products, with a focus on a vertically integrated phosphate chemical industry chain [1] - In 2024, the company’s subsidiary, Fulin Mining, achieved a total phosphate rock mining volume of 3.1484 million tons, with 679,300 tons sold externally [1] - The company has developed its own flotation technology, achieving a phosphate recovery rate of over 93% [1] Wet-Process Phosphoric Acid Technology - The company utilizes a self-developed semi-hydrate wet-process phosphoric acid production technology, which is characterized by a short process flow, advanced reliability, high product quality, low energy consumption, and low production costs [2] - The purification technology for wet-process phosphoric acid improves phosphate recovery by over 15% compared to traditional methods [2] Feed-Grade Dicalcium Phosphate - The company’s feed-grade dicalcium phosphate is a high-efficiency feed additive, with a market share that has consistently ranked first in the industry [3] - The company has an annual production capacity of 510,000 tons for feed-grade dicalcium phosphate [3] Diammonium Phosphate Production - The company’s diammonium phosphate is primarily used in high-concentration compound fertilizers and ABC dry powder fire extinguishing agents, with an annual production capacity of 260,000 tons [4] - The company’s products represent a high standard in the domestic market for powdered diammonium phosphate [4] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 5.91 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 36.72%, and a net profit of 956 million yuan, up 24.80% from the previous year [6] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.493 billion yuan, a 43.07% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 202 million yuan, up 50.02% [6] - The company has a high dividend payout ratio, with a proposed cash dividend of 12.00 yuan per 10 shares, amounting to approximately 646.4 million yuan, which is 67.6% of the net profit [6] Future Product Expansion - The company aims to expand its product offerings to include food-grade phosphoric acid, polyphosphate, and building gypsum, enhancing its product structure and exploring new profit growth points [5]