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芯片战争后是工厂战争,中美谁强?
日经中文网· 2025-10-24 03:11
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing "chip war" and "factory war" between the U.S. and China, emphasizing the importance of industrial strength and advanced technology in geopolitical competition [2][4]. Group 1: Chip War and Factory War - The "chip war" is characterized as a defensive and offensive battle over cutting-edge technology closely tied to geopolitics, while the "factory war" focuses on the competition for national industrial strength and production capacity [2]. - The U.S. has been experiencing a hollowing out of its industrial base due to offshoring since the end of the Cold War, leading to concerns about its ability to compete with China [4]. Group 2: U.S. Industrial Policy - Trump's administration aimed to restore U.S. manufacturing and industrial strength, which included imposing tariffs and restrictions on various industrial products from China [4][6]. - The recent proposal to impose a 100% tariff on Chinese imports coincides with China's export controls on rare earths, indicating a tit-for-tat response in the ongoing industrial competition [6]. Group 3: AI and Industrial Strength - The article highlights the need for the U.S. to integrate AI with manufacturing to achieve a new dimension of industrial strength, rather than attempting to replicate 20th-century industrial capabilities [6][7]. - Comparatively, while China is rapidly advancing in the semiconductor sector for AI, U.S. tech giants (GAFAM) still hold a significant lead in overall market capitalization and profitability [7][8]. Group 4: GAFAM vs. BATH - GAFAM's total market capitalization exceeds 210 trillion yen, nearly half of the U.S. GDP, with an average annual growth rate of about 18% in profitability over the past decade [7]. - Despite their strong financial performance, GAFAM's focus on internet data may limit their connection to industrial strength, while China is seen as having a rich manufacturing base [8]. Group 5: Japan's Industrial Position - Japan possesses significant industrial assets, including a vast amount of offline data and a leading position in global vehicle ownership, which could be leveraged in the face of U.S.-China competition [10]. - The investment by SoftBank Group in robotics indicates Japan's intent to enhance its manufacturing capabilities and adapt to the evolving industrial landscape [10].