科技成长占优风格

Search documents
事件点评:策略类●短期贸易摩擦难改A股慢牛趋势
Huajin Securities· 2025-10-12 09:10
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that the long-term trend of a slow bull market in A-shares remains unchanged, despite short-term pressures from trade tensions [1][8] - The report highlights that the structural recovery of A-share profits and potential credit recovery are key factors supporting the slow bull trend [8][13] - Short-term adjustments in A-shares are viewed as opportunities for low-position layouts, with limited adjustment pressure on the fundamentals [13][20] Group 2 - The report discusses the reasons behind the current round of US-China tariff tensions, including China's restrictions on rare earth exports and the ongoing negotiation dynamics [7][8] - It notes that the potential imposition of additional tariffs by the US may serve as a countermeasure against China's export controls on rare earths, reflecting a strategic negotiation tactic [7][8] - The report emphasizes that the impact of tariffs on exports is expected to be less severe than in previous instances, due to an optimized export structure and resilient domestic consumption and investment [13][20] Group 3 - The industry allocation analysis suggests a balanced style in the short term, while the technology sector remains favored in the medium to long term [15][20] - The report indicates that sectors such as large finance, rare earths, agriculture, and innovative pharmaceuticals may perform relatively well in the short term due to their defensive attributes [20][22] - It also highlights that the technology sector, particularly in areas like artificial intelligence and robotics, continues to receive policy support and is expected to maintain a favorable position in the long term [16][22]