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稀土产业链深度报告:全球主导地位稳固,高端应用描绘增长新曲线
Donghai Securities· 2025-07-16 11:56
Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive investment outlook for the rare earth industry, highlighting the strategic importance and growth potential of high-end applications [99]. Core Insights - China holds a dominant position in the global rare earth market, with approximately 49% of the world's total rare earth oxide reserves and a production share of about 69% as of 2024 [8][12][13]. - The report emphasizes the shift towards high-value applications in the rare earth sector, particularly in new materials and advanced manufacturing, driven by government policies supporting innovation and sustainability [70][72]. - The integration of the rare earth supply chain in China, characterized by strong processing capabilities and economies of scale, creates significant barriers to entry for foreign competitors [45][49][52]. Summary by Sections Rare Earth Resource Development and Smelting - China's rare earth resources are abundant, with a production capacity that significantly exceeds domestic demand, leading to a low import requirement [9][12]. - The report outlines the mining and smelting processes, noting the advanced techniques employed in China that enhance recovery rates and reduce environmental impact [53][54]. Rare Earth Integration Industry Barriers - The report highlights the competitive advantages of China's rare earth industry, including technological leadership in separation processes and a well-established industrial cluster [49][52]. - China's rare earth processing capacity accounts for over 90% of global demand, underscoring its critical role in the supply chain [43][49]. Downstream Demand Growth and Policies - The demand for rare earth elements is expected to grow, particularly in high-tech applications such as electric vehicles, wind energy, and industrial robotics [86][91]. - Recent policy changes, including stricter export controls and a focus on high-end applications, are likely to reshape the market dynamics and enhance the value of domestic production [57][59][100]. Conclusion and Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on upstream resource companies and deep processing enterprises as potential investment hotspots, given the expected increase in global demand and the strategic importance of rare earths [99][100]. - Companies with strong export capabilities and those involved in high-value manufacturing are positioned to benefit from the evolving market landscape [99][100].