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东方金诚:预计下半年央行还会继续实施降息
news flash· 2025-05-20 23:48
Core Viewpoint - The current external environment remains highly uncertain, and domestic growth stabilization policies should not be relaxed yet [1] Group 1: Monetary Policy - It is expected that the central bank will continue to implement interest rate cuts in the second half of the year, with room for two types of LPR to decline within the year [1] - The recent reduction in deposit rates by state-owned banks is anticipated to lead other commercial banks to follow suit, resulting in an overall deposit rate decrease of approximately 0.11 to 0.13 percentage points [1] - This adjustment in deposit rates is expected to offset the impact of the LPR reduction on various loan rates, thereby stabilizing the banks' net interest margin [1]