算力+能源

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公用事业行业跟踪周报:甘肃能源投资绿电聚合试点项目促“算力+能源”融合发展,山东印发源网荷储实施细则-2025-03-17
Soochow Securities· 2025-03-17 12:25
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the public utility sector [1]. Core Insights - The Gansu Energy Investment Green Power Aggregation Pilot Project promotes the integration of "computing power + energy" development, with a planned capacity of 1 million kilowatts, including 750,000 kilowatts of wind power and 250,000 kilowatts of solar power [4]. - Shandong Province has issued implementation details for the source-network-load-storage integration pilot, emphasizing compliance and prohibiting illegal practices [4]. - The report highlights a decrease in electricity prices and coal prices, with the average electricity purchase price in March 2025 at 398 RMB/MWh, down 4% year-on-year [34]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The public utility index rose by 2.19% from March 10 to March 14, 2025, outperforming the market [12]. - The top five gainers included KAITENG Gas (+34.7%) and LINGDA Co. (+24.2%) [12]. 2. Power Sector Tracking 2.1 Electricity Consumption - Total electricity consumption for 2024 is projected at 9.85 trillion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 6.8% [14]. - The growth rates for different sectors are: primary industry (+6.3%), secondary industry (+5.1%), tertiary industry (+9.9%), and urban-rural residential use (+10.6%) [14]. 2.2 Power Generation - Cumulative power generation for 2024 is expected to reach 9.42 trillion kWh, reflecting a 4.6% year-on-year increase [24]. - The growth rates for various power sources are: thermal power (+1.5%), hydropower (+10.7%), nuclear power (+2.7%), wind power (+11.1%), and solar power (+28.2%) [24]. 2.3 Electricity Prices - The average electricity purchase price in March 2025 is 398 RMB/MWh, down 4% year-on-year and stable compared to the previous month [34]. 2.4 Coal Prices - As of March 14, 2025, the price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao port is 681 RMB/ton, down 21.99% year-on-year and 1.02% week-on-week [41]. 2.5 Water Conditions - The water level at the Three Gorges Reservoir is 164.01 meters, with inflow and outflow rates showing significant year-on-year increases [4]. 2.6 Nuclear Power - In 2024, 11 nuclear units have been approved, indicating a positive growth trajectory for the sector [4]. 2.7 Green Power - The report emphasizes the growth potential of green power, with significant increases in installed capacity for wind (+25.0%) and solar (+25.9%) [4]. 3. Investment Recommendations - Recommendations include focusing on hydropower companies like Changjiang Electric, thermal power companies such as Waneng Power, and nuclear power firms like China Nuclear Power [4].