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市场预期算力需求放缓,英伟达市值一夜蒸发约1.2万亿元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-03-27 04:44
Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates a slowdown in computing power demand, leading to a significant drop in NVIDIA's market value, which evaporated approximately 1.2 trillion yuan in one night [1][4]. Group 1: Market Reactions - On March 26, major U.S. stock indices fell collectively, with the Nasdaq dropping 2.04%, marking its largest single-day decline since March 11 [3]. - NVIDIA's stock fell by 5.74%, resulting in a market value loss of $169.1 billion (approximately 12,291 million yuan) [3]. - The report from TD Cowen indicated that Microsoft abandoned plans for new data centers in the U.S. and Europe due to an oversupply of computing clusters, which negatively impacted AI-related stocks [3]. Group 2: Industry Insights - Alibaba's chairman noted signs of a bubble in AI data center construction, suggesting that many investment announcements in the U.S. are redundant or overlapping [4]. - Microsoft's decision to halt capacity expansion signals a loss of market confidence in AI infrastructure investments, raising questions about the sustainability of capital expenditures in the AI sector [4]. - NVIDIA's stock experienced a significant drop of 21% on March 6, ending a three-year period of strong performance in the AI sector [4]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Despite NVIDIA's CEO emphasizing the continued reliance on their technology, market expectations for a slowdown in computing power demand remain strong [6]. - NVIDIA's latest Q4 2024 financial report showed a 78% year-over-year revenue increase, but a 3 percentage point decline in gross margin to 73%, raising concerns about profit sustainability [6]. - The AI industry is shifting from a focus on "computing power worship" to "efficiency first," with emerging competitors like DeepSeek and Ant Group offering lower-cost, high-performance models [7]. - New challengers such as Cerebras Systems are introducing faster and cheaper chips, while AMD, Intel, and Google are also enhancing their specialized chip offerings, posing a threat to NVIDIA [7].