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比特币一度失守10万美元!距历史高点跌超20% 47万人爆仓创纪录
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-05 05:46
Core Viewpoint - The cryptocurrency market experienced significant turbulence, with Bitcoin's price dropping below the critical $100,000 mark, reaching a low of $99,000, marking the lowest level since June. As of noon on November 5, the price slightly recovered to $102,134, but this represents a decline of over 20% from the historical high of $126,000 a month ago, nearing the threshold of a "technical bear market" [1] Market Reaction - The sharp decline triggered a chain reaction, leading to heightened market panic. According to CoinGlass data, over 470,000 individuals faced forced liquidations within 24 hours, with total liquidation amounts approaching $1.8 billion, the highest single-day total since August, with over 90% being long investors. The largest single liquidation occurred on the HTX exchange, valued at nearly $34 million, resulting in a complete asset wipeout for one investor [3] Broader Market Impact - Other cryptocurrencies also faced downward pressure, with Ethereum dropping by as much as 15%, falling below the critical support level of $3,600. Smaller altcoins like Solana and Dogecoin saw declines exceeding 10%, while low liquidity altcoins have lost over 50% year-to-date. Chris Newhouse, research director at financial firm Ergonia, noted that this downturn reflects the market's ongoing digestion of the massive liquidation event in October, where over $19 billion in assets were forcibly liquidated, exposing leverage risks [3] Contributing Factors - Multiple negative factors contributed to the crash. On a macro level, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's recent hawkish signals indicated that a rate cut in December is "far from a done deal," pushing the dollar index to a three-month high, putting pressure on high-risk assets. Additionally, the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF has seen net outflows for four consecutive trading days, totaling approximately $1.34 billion, with BlackRock's IBIT experiencing a single-day outflow of $400 million, the highest among similar funds. Furthermore, a security vulnerability in the Ethereum ecosystem's Balancer protocol resulted in over $100 million in losses, further undermining market confidence [4] Market Sentiment and Strategies - Market hedging actions have been fully initiated. According to Bloomberg, options traders are actively constructing hedging tools, with high demand for put options with a strike price of $80,000 expiring at the end of November, reflecting concerns about further price declines. Analyst Damian Chmiel warned that if Bitcoin remains below $100,000, it could trigger algorithmic trading sell-offs, with the next target potentially pointing to the April low of $74,000, representing a potential decline of 30% [4] Diverging Strategies - Despite the prevailing market sentiment, some institutions are choosing to invest against the trend. Strategy Company recently announced an increase in its Bitcoin holdings by 397 coins, costing approximately $45.6 million, with an average holding cost of about $74,000 per coin. Fundstrat analyst Tom Lee remains long-term optimistic, predicting Bitcoin could rise to between $150,000 and $200,000 by year-end. However, most analysts believe that the cryptocurrency market will remain in a high volatility period until the Federal Reserve's policy becomes clearer, with leverage speculation risks needing urgent attention [5]