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超117万人被裁!
商业洞察· 2025-12-18 09:23
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the alarming rise in layoffs in the U.S. job market, with over 1.17 million employees laid off by November 2025, a 54% increase from the previous year, drawing parallels to the 2008-2009 financial crisis [4][5]. Group 1: Causes of Layoffs - The primary cause of layoffs is attributed to the efficiency revolution led by the DOGE department, resulting in 293,753 federal employees and contractors losing their jobs, with an additional 20,976 in the private and non-profit sectors, an eightfold increase compared to 2024 [15]. - The macroeconomic environment, characterized by high costs and tariffs, is also a significant factor, as many companies face debt repayment pressures from loans taken during the low-interest period of 2020-2021 [18][19]. - Companies, particularly those owned by private equity, are cutting jobs at a rate 1.5 times higher than publicly traded firms due to high leverage costs and cash flow constraints [21][22]. Group 2: Impact on Various Industries - The retail sector is the hardest hit, with a significant drop in consumer confidence and companies like Target and Starbucks announcing substantial layoffs due to decreased sales [27][28]. - The service industry has seen a 64% increase in layoffs, with UPS cutting 14,000 management positions to improve efficiency [30][31]. - The food industry has also been affected, with 34,165 job losses throughout the year, particularly in beef processing due to rising costs [32][33]. Group 3: Technology and Management Changes - The technology sector has contributed significantly to layoffs, with 35% of the total layoffs coming from this industry, primarily affecting middle management roles [46][47]. - A new corporate mantra has emerged: "Every employee generates revenue," leading to layoffs becoming a normalized management tool rather than a crisis response [51]. - Companies like Amazon and IBM have reported increased profits while simultaneously announcing significant layoffs, indicating a trend where cost-cutting measures are prioritized over workforce stability [53][54]. Group 4: Future Implications - The trend of layoffs is expected to continue, with predictions that the technology sector will see a peak in cost-cutting benefits by 2026, potentially reducing operational costs significantly [58]. - However, the loss of middle management, which often holds critical technical knowledge, could extend product development cycles and hinder innovation [62][71]. - The article warns that excessive cost-cutting may erode the foundation of innovation within the technology sector, leading to long-term negative consequences [72].