经营性净现金
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【格力电器(000651.SZ)】发布中期利润分配方案,经营性净现金大幅提升——2025年三季报点评(洪吉然)
光大证券研究· 2025-11-04 23:05
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 40 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 15%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.1 billion yuan, down 10% year-on-year. However, the balance sheet shows healthy operating quality with significant growth in operating cash flow, low inventory levels, and an increase in contract liabilities [4]. Revenue Analysis - The overall revenue growth for the company from Q1 to Q3 2025 was +14%, -12%, and -16%, respectively. The revenue growth including advance receipts was +9%, -13%, and -7%. The decline in Q3 was attributed to the reduction of national subsidies and pressures in the central air conditioning export market. However, online price competition eased compared to Q2 [5]. - For household air conditioning, domestic sales growth was +2%, +7%, and +3% from Q1 to Q3 2025, while exports showed a decline of -4% and -15% in Q2 and Q3, respectively. Online sales for Gree in the first half and Q3 were up 21% and 18% year-on-year, while offline sales were down -3% in Q3 [5]. - The central air conditioning sector did not show improvement in domestic scale decline in Q3 compared to the first half of 2025, indicating that the company's operational trends align closely with the industry [5]. Profitability Analysis - The company's net profit margin increased by 1.0 percentage points year-on-year in Q3 2025, despite a slight decrease in gross profit margin. This improvement was driven by a reduction in asset and credit impairment losses, lower management and financial expense ratios, and a decrease in the income tax rate [6]. Cash Flow and Inventory Management - The company reported a significant increase in operating cash flow, reaching 45.7 billion yuan in the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 260%. This was primarily due to a reduction in restricted funds such as notes and guarantee deposits [8]. - Inventory levels remained low, with a book value of 25.3 billion yuan in Q3 2025, indicating that the new channel model is functioning effectively [8]. - The company maintained a strong cash reserve, totaling 162.5 billion yuan in cash, trading financial assets, and other current assets as of Q3 2025 [8].