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联合包裹(UPS.US)三季度盈利超预期,分析师:反弹还是陷阱?
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-29 07:09
Core Viewpoint - UPS reported strong third-quarter earnings, driven by restructuring measures including significant layoffs and efficiency improvements, leading to an 8% increase in stock price, reaching a new high since late July [1] Financial Performance - UPS's earnings per share (EPS) for the third quarter was $1.74, exceeding market expectations of $1.30, although this figure was considered misleading due to the inclusion of sale-leaseback gains [1] - Core adjusted EPS surpassed expectations by $0.15, supported by improved profitability in both domestic and international segments [1] Market Sentiment - Analysts noted that the market had low expectations prior to the earnings report, and UPS's performance could positively influence the entire parcel delivery sector [2] - Despite the positive earnings, there are multiple adverse factors that could hinder a full recovery for the company [2] Analyst Perspectives - Jefferies analyst Stephanie Moore highlighted the extreme negative sentiment surrounding UPS's stock over the past year, but expects a rebound due to better-than-expected core performance and outlook for the fourth quarter [2] - JPMorgan analyst Brian Ossenbeck anticipates that UPS's stock will outperform the market, contrasting with last year's underperformance due to declining USPS network density and Amazon's business slowdown [2] - Morgan Stanley analyst Ravi Shanker advised caution against chasing short-term gains from the stock's rise, citing ongoing structural profitability pressures [2] - Seeking Alpha analyst Ragmar Rikberg emphasized the attractiveness of UPS's stock, noting that despite facing internal and external challenges, the company's long-term vision remains solid [2]