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美国就算关税归零,我们也回不去了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-21 20:08
Core Insights - The current sentiment among Chinese foreign trade enterprises reflects a deep-seated distrust in U.S. trade policies, regardless of potential changes in tariffs or incentives [1][3] - The unpredictability of tariff policies since the Trump era has created significant operational challenges for businesses, leading to a state of paralysis where companies are unsure whether to fulfill orders or risk losses [4][5] Group 1: Policy Uncertainty - The rapid changes in tariff policies have left many businesses in a state of confusion, with examples such as the automotive parts industry experiencing sudden tax increases followed by unexpected exemptions [5] - Business owners express that the uncertainty surrounding policies is more daunting than a lack of orders, as it complicates decision-making and financial planning [6][7] Group 2: Trust Erosion and Market Diversification - The freezing of Russian foreign reserves has highlighted the fragility of private property rights in the face of national interests, leading to a crisis of trust among foreign trade enterprises [7] - Companies are increasingly adopting a diversified market strategy, moving from a reliance on the U.S. market to a more global approach, with significant growth in trade with countries along the Belt and Road Initiative [9][10] Group 3: Financial Innovation - To mitigate risks associated with dollar dependency, businesses are exploring alternative settlement methods, including the use of digital yuan for cross-border transactions, which significantly reduces transaction times and costs [11] - The proportion of trade settled in yuan with ASEAN countries has surged to 24%, indicating a shift towards local currency transactions [11] Group 4: Product Differentiation - Companies are focusing on enhancing product uniqueness and brand strength, moving away from low-margin OEM models to innovative products that command market attention, as exemplified by Ecovacs' smart lawn mowers [12] Group 5: Strategic Adaptation - The mindset among foreign trade enterprises has shifted from "securing orders" to "ensuring stable orders," with a more cautious approach to risk management and a focus on emerging markets [15][17] - The new survival philosophy emphasizes market diversification, innovative financial practices, and product differentiation as essential strategies for resilience in a changing global landscape [17]