美元化债

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立法稳定币,美国化债三部曲,步步出乎意料
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-29 08:37
Group 1 - The core argument is that the recent legislative moves in the US and China regarding stablecoins are aimed at addressing debt issues and stabilizing their respective currencies while potentially shifting the burden of debt onto global users [2][4][17] - The US Senate has passed the "GENIUS Stablecoin Act," allowing tech giants to issue stablecoins fully backed by US Treasury bonds, effectively creating a digital version of the dollar [2][10] - China's Hong Kong is also advancing its own stablecoin regulations, which are pegged to the Hong Kong dollar, indicating a strategic move to bypass the SWIFT system and reduce reliance on the US dollar [2][4] Group 2 - Stablecoins are defined as a hybrid of central bank currency and blockchain technology, designed to maintain stability in value, primarily through asset-backed models [6][10] - The current market for stablecoins has seen a surge, with transaction volumes reaching $28 trillion in 2024, surpassing Bitcoin and major credit card companies [10] - The majority of stablecoins are pegged to the US dollar, with over $250 billion in reserves, positioning them as a shadow version of the dollar outside US regulatory control [10][12] Group 3 - The strategy of using stablecoins to manage debt involves converting adversaries into allies, encouraging global adoption to bolster demand for US Treasury bonds [11][12] - The potential for retail investors to indirectly purchase US Treasury bonds through stablecoins is highlighted, as they offer higher yields compared to traditional savings accounts [11][12] - The US aims to increase the total market value of stablecoins from $250 billion to $2 trillion, which could significantly alleviate the issue of unsold Treasury bonds [11][12] Group 4 - The introduction of stablecoins allows the US to issue digital currency globally, effectively collecting seigniorage while distributing inflationary pressures [12][16] - The risks associated with stablecoin issuers, including lack of transparency and potential for high-risk investments, raise concerns about their ability to absorb bad debts if US Treasury bonds falter [15][16] - The competition between US and Chinese stablecoins reflects a broader strategy to establish alternative financial systems that could mitigate the impact of US dollar fluctuations [17][19]