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美元汇价
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每日投行/机构观点梳理(2025-07-29)
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-07-29 12:23
Group 1 - UBS reports that international investors are increasingly confident in the Chinese market, particularly in A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, following positive macroeconomic policy changes since last September [1] - Morgan Stanley predicts that the S&P 500 index could reach 7200 points by mid-next year, representing a 12.5% upside, supported by strong blue-chip earnings and macro trends [2] - Credit Suisse states that a non-symmetric trade agreement between the EU and the US is better than no agreement at all, although it may not significantly alter the macroeconomic outlook for the EU [2] Group 2 - CITIC Securities highlights the implementation of a child-rearing subsidy system, providing 3600 yuan per child annually for children under three years old, which is expected to create opportunities in the dairy, maternal and infant retail, baby products, and postpartum care sectors [4] - CITIC Securities anticipates that the heavy truck industry will experience a "not-so-slow" season, projecting a total sales volume of approximately 1.05 million units in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 16% [4] - CITIC Securities expects continued growth in eSIM demand, forecasting that global eSIM smartphone shipments will reach around 300 million units in 2024, with a penetration rate of about 25% [5] - CITIC Securities notes that Hong Kong medical device companies are showing strong innovation, with several firms approaching profitability and experiencing rapid performance releases [6]
美国财长贝森特:美元汇价不等于强势美元政策。
news flash· 2025-07-03 17:47
Core Viewpoint - The U.S. Treasury Secretary, Janet Yellen, emphasized that the exchange rate of the dollar does not equate to a strong dollar policy, indicating a nuanced approach to currency valuation and economic strategy [1] Group 1 - The statement reflects a broader understanding that a strong dollar does not solely depend on its exchange rate against other currencies [1] - The U.S. government aims to maintain a stable and predictable dollar value to support economic growth and international trade [1] - Yellen's comments suggest that the administration is focused on long-term economic fundamentals rather than short-term currency fluctuations [1]