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大摩:标普500指数明年年中目标上望7200点
news flash· 2025-07-28 16:52
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley strategist Michael Wilson believes that the S&P 500 index could rise to 7200 points by mid-next year, representing a potential increase of 12.5% from current levels [1] Earnings and Valuation - The forecast for the S&P 500 index is based on an expected earnings per share (EPS) of $319 for its constituent stocks and a target price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 22.5 [1] - Wilson anticipates a stable foundation for corporate earnings growth, with an average growth rate expected to be between 10% and 20% [1] Market Conditions - The current market cycle is described as non-traditional, supported by factors such as positive operating leverage, the application of artificial intelligence, a weak dollar, tax savings, strong income growth, sustained demand, and anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1] - Wilson expresses confidence that the S&P 500 index will align with this optimistic forecast and recommends buying quality stocks on dips [1] Sector Outlook - Wilson maintains his previous view that industrial stocks will be among the biggest beneficiaries of the upcoming market rally [1]