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美元贬值风险对冲
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日元升至152,市场同时警惕美元走弱
日经中文网· 2026-01-28 02:53
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent appreciation of the Japanese yen against the US dollar, driven by various factors including US political statements and market reactions to currency fluctuations [2][4][6]. Group 1: Currency Movements - On January 27, the yen appreciated to the range of 152.0 to 152.5 yen per dollar, marking a significant rise as the US dollar index fell to its lowest level in about four years [2][4]. - Following comments from US President Trump expressing no concern over the dollar's depreciation, the yen further strengthened, reaching approximately 152.10 yen per dollar in the New York market [6][8]. - The dollar also weakened against other currencies, with the euro rising to about 1.1972 dollars, the lowest since June 2021, and the Swiss franc reaching 0.76 francs per dollar, the highest since 2015 [6][7]. Group 2: Investor Sentiment and Strategies - Global investors are increasingly hedging against the risk of dollar depreciation, with a survey by Bank of America indicating a preference for long positions in gold and large tech stocks, alongside short positions in the dollar [10]. - Australian pension funds are also increasing their foreign exchange hedging against dollar assets, anticipating a weaker dollar due to expected interest rate cuts in the US [10]. Group 3: Market Concerns - Analysts express concerns regarding the potential reversal of "yen carry trades," where investors borrow in low-yielding yen to invest in higher-yielding dollar assets, which could lead to increased market volatility [11][12]. - There is a belief among some market participants that the US government may intentionally induce dollar depreciation, which could have broader implications for the financial markets [11][12].