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国际观察丨“极不光彩的纪录!”——美国停不下来的联邦政府“停摆”
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-11-05 11:26
Core Points - The U.S. federal government shutdown has reached its 36th day, marking the longest shutdown in U.S. history, surpassing the previous record of 35 days from late 2018 to early 2019 [1][2] - The ongoing shutdown is a result of escalating political conflicts between the Democratic and Republican parties, with both sides prioritizing political gains over addressing public welfare [1][3] Political Dynamics - The shutdown began on October 1 when the Senate failed to pass a temporary funding bill before government funds were exhausted, leading to a political stalemate primarily over healthcare and welfare spending [2][3] - The Republican party, particularly under Trump's influence, aims to use the shutdown to push for government downsizing and to expand executive power, while the Democrats are leveraging the situation to solidify their political agenda ahead of the midterm elections [2][3] Economic Impact - The Congressional Budget Office estimates that the prolonged shutdown could reduce the U.S. GDP growth rate by 1 to 2 percentage points in Q4, with each week of the shutdown costing approximately $15 billion [3][5] - The shutdown has severely affected various sectors, including food assistance programs, healthcare, and transportation, leading to significant disruptions in services and economic activities [3][4][5] Historical Context - The phenomenon of government shutdowns has become increasingly common in U.S. politics, with 15 instances recorded since 1980, and the current situation reflects a growing trend of political polarization and dysfunction [6][7] - Previous shutdowns have typically lasted only a few days, but recent events indicate a shift towards longer and more contentious standoffs between the two parties [6][7] Public Sentiment - Public opinion polls indicate widespread dissatisfaction with both parties, with a significant majority of Americans feeling that neither party is addressing their needs effectively [8][9] - The ongoing shutdown has led to a decline in trust towards Congress, with approval ratings dropping to 15%, highlighting a growing disconnect between elected officials and the electorate [9][10] Governance Issues - Analysts attribute the recurring shutdowns to systemic governance failures, suggesting that the budgetary process in Congress requires substantial reform to prevent future crises [9][10] - The current political climate reflects a lack of willingness among elected officials to compromise, resulting in a governance model that increasingly fails to serve the public interest [9][10]
“极不光彩的纪录!”——美国停不下来的联邦政府“停摆”
Xin Hua She· 2025-11-05 08:10
Core Points - The U.S. federal government shutdown has reached its 36th day, marking the longest shutdown in U.S. history, surpassing the previous record of 35 days from late 2018 to early 2019 [1][2] - The ongoing shutdown is a result of escalating political conflicts between the Democratic and Republican parties, with both sides prioritizing political gains over addressing public welfare [1][8] - The shutdown is expected to have significant economic repercussions, with estimates suggesting a potential decline in the U.S. GDP growth rate by 1 to 2 percentage points in Q4, and a loss of approximately $15 billion for each week the shutdown continues [3][4] Economic Impact - The Congressional Budget Office has projected a decrease in the annual GDP growth rate due to the shutdown, with estimates of a 1 to 2 percentage point decline [3] - The shutdown has led to the suspension of food assistance programs, marking the first time in 60 years that the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program has halted benefits [3] - The aviation sector is experiencing significant disruptions, with thousands of air traffic controllers and security personnel working without pay, resulting in numerous flight delays and cancellations [4] Political Dynamics - The current shutdown reflects a deepening political polarization, with both parties using the situation to advance their political agendas rather than seeking compromise [2][6] - Historical context shows that the frequency and duration of government shutdowns have increased, with the last major shutdown lasting 35 days during the Trump administration [7][9] - Public sentiment is increasingly negative towards both parties, with a majority of Americans feeling that neither party is addressing their needs effectively [8][9] Governance Issues - Analysts suggest that the root cause of the shutdown lies in systemic governance failures, with calls for reforming the congressional budget process to prevent future occurrences [9][10] - The current political climate has led to a lack of willingness among elected officials to negotiate or seek solutions that serve the public interest [9][10] - The shutdown has damaged the credibility of the U.S. government both domestically and internationally, raising concerns about the ability of American political institutions to govern effectively [10]
美政府“停摆”时长破历史纪录 为啥两党还不急?
Core Points - The U.S. federal government shutdown has reached its 36th day, impacting millions of Americans and causing significant disruptions in various sectors [1][4] - Political stalemate between Democrats and Republicans continues, with no immediate resolution in sight, as both parties seem to use the shutdown to advance their political agendas [4][6] Group 1: Impact on Citizens - Over 42 million Americans have lost access to food assistance due to the shutdown, with the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program halting payments on November 1 [2][6] - More than 700,000 federal employees are working without pay, while politicians' salaries remain unaffected due to constitutional protections [2][4] - Small businesses are also suffering, with approximately 320 small businesses unable to access about $170 million in government-backed loans daily, severely affecting their cash flow [3][6] Group 2: Political Maneuvering - Both parties are entrenched in a standoff over healthcare spending, preventing the passage of temporary funding bills, while simultaneously engaging in political posturing [4][6] - The Republican administration is reportedly planning significant layoffs, particularly in departments perceived to lean Democratic, with estimates suggesting over 10,000 job cuts [6] - Democrats are leveraging the food assistance issue to bolster their image as advocates for low-income groups, aiming to strengthen party unity ahead of the midterm elections [6][9] Group 3: Economic and Operational Disruptions - The shutdown has led to increased flight delays affecting over 3.2 million travelers, as air traffic controllers and other essential personnel are forced to work without pay [1][7] - The government has allocated $200 million for purchasing private jets for officials during the shutdown, raising concerns about prioritization of government spending [7][8] - A significant portion of the population is expected to avoid air travel during the shutdown, with 60% of Americans indicating they would cancel or avoid flights [7][9]