Core Viewpoint - Standard Chartered Group's stock price increased by over 4% in the afternoon, reflecting positive market sentiment ahead of its upcoming board meeting to approve quarterly results [1] Financial Performance - Goldman Sachs forecasts Standard Chartered's adjusted pre-tax profit for Q3 to be $1.9 billion, representing a 6% year-on-year growth, which is 12% higher than market expectations [1] - The anticipated growth is driven by an increase in non-interest income and a decrease in costs [1] - Goldman Sachs predicts a 3% growth in adjusted revenue for Q3, amounting to $5.04 billion, compared to a 7% growth in the first half of the year [1] Market Sentiment - Standard Chartered's stock price experienced a decline of 5.1% on October 17, attributed to investor risk aversion due to U.S. credit risk events [1] - JPMorgan noted that Standard Chartered has limited direct exposure to the U.S. market and has strengthened risk management measures in recent years, leading to reduced risk exposure [1] - Financial market volatility may positively impact Standard Chartered's market income in Q4 [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley maintains an "overweight" rating for both HSBC Holdings (00005) and Standard Chartered (02888), with a preference for Standard Chartered in the six-month investment outlook [1] Group 1: Target Prices and Ratings - HSBC's target price is maintained at HKD 122, while Standard Chartered's target price is raised from HKD 162 to HKD 168 [1] Group 2: Short-term Impact and Performance - The planned privatization of Hang Seng Bank (00011) has already been reflected in HSBC's stock price, and investors may refrain from factoring in long-term synergies until more quantitative guidance is provided by management [1] - The third-quarter performance will be a key driver for short-term stock prices, with trading fees and credit costs related to Hong Kong commercial real estate being critical variables [1] Group 3: Market Reactions and Opportunities - On October 17, Standard Chartered's stock fell by 5.1%, underperforming the Hang Seng Index and HSBC by 2.6 and 3.1 percentage points, respectively, likely due to investor risk aversion stemming from U.S. credit risk events [1] - The company views any further stock price adjustments as a buying opportunity, given Standard Chartered's limited direct exposure to the U.S. market and its strengthened risk management measures in recent years [1] - Financial market volatility may positively impact Standard Chartered's market revenue in the fourth quarter [1]

另外，渣打股价于10月17日下跌5.1%，跑输恒生指数及汇控分别2.6及3.1个百分点，可能是由于投资者 因美国信贷风险事件而采取避险情绪。该行认为，若股价进一步调整，将是买入机会，因渣打对美国市 场的直接敞口有限，且近年来加强了风险管理措施，导致风险敞口收缩。此外，金融市场波动可能对渣 打第四季度的市场收入构成正面影响。 智通财经APP获悉，摩根大通发布研报称，对汇丰控股(00005)及渣打集团(02888)均维持"增持"评级， 但在六个月投资展望上更偏好渣打，该行维持汇控目标价122港元，上调渣打目标价由162港元升至168 港元。 该行认为，计划私有化恒生银行(00011)对汇丰控股短期影响已反映在股价中，投资者可能在管理层提 供更多量化指引前，不会计入长期协同效应。第三季度业绩将成为短期股价的驱动因素，交易费用及香 港商业地产敞口导致的信贷成本将是关键变动因素。 ...