11月24日，欧盟27国在关税谈判桌上合力，企图用"共同遏制中国"的姿态换取美国的贸易让步，本以为这招够聪明，结果却遭遇当头一棒。 美国不仅不为所动，反而转身向中国递出橄榄枝，考虑送上"高端芯片出口放宽"的政策，特朗普还计划亲自访华。 看起来，欧洲想联美制华，但特朗普这回显然是不想接招了。 本来是美国计划扩大对欧洲钢铝产品征收关税，引发欧盟强烈反弹，特别是对德国和法国这些传统制造业大国来说，这种关税压力无异于釜底抽薪。 眼看谈判气氛紧张，欧盟代表们临时打出一个"牌"，希望在对待中方的立场上与美国协调一致，以换取美方的贸易让步。 他们更关心的是欧洲数字市场的管制问题，尤其是欧盟对美国科技巨头设下的种种限制，美国提希望欧盟放宽数字监管规则，为美国科技企业打开更大市 场。 这意味着，美方更关注的是经济账，而不是战略姿态，欧盟拿中国当筹码，但特朗普只认得见真金白银的利益，这场"对等交换"从一开始就是一厢情愿。 美国这边的反应非常直接，卢特尼克在会谈中强调，欧洲如果想避免更高的关税，就得在数字规则上"寻求平衡"。 从这个角度看，欧盟在布鲁塞尔的表现更像是误判形势，他们以为只要在对中方的问题上站边，美国就会在贸易上"感恩 ...

Group 1 - The US-China trade war ended with the US suffering significant losses while China emerged victorious, highlighting the misjudgment of Trump's assessment of China's economic resilience [1] - Following the resolution of the US-China conflict, Trump quickly shifted focus to imposing a 50% tariff on EU goods, demonstrating the principle of "America First" and revealing the harsh realities of international trade [1][3] - The EU has become a victim of the trade war, as the US's aggressive tariff policies have left Europe in a vulnerable position, unable to effectively counteract [1][3] Group 2 - China responded to the US's tariffs, which reached a historical high of 145%, by diversifying its market dependencies and increasing imports from ASEAN countries by 23%, thereby reducing reliance on the US [3] - The US's energy strategy has allowed it to dominate the EU market, with American liquefied natural gas accounting for 46% of total EU imports, further solidifying US control over Europe's economic lifeline [4] - The digital sector in Europe is heavily dominated by US companies, with firms like Google and Meta controlling 90% of the European data market, contributing to Europe's industrial hollowing [5] Group 3 - The EU's leadership, particularly Ursula von der Leyen, has adopted a dual approach, seeking to strengthen ties with China while also engaging closely with the US, reflecting the complex dynamics of the trade environment [7] - Germany's internal assessments indicate that an escalation of the US-EU trade war could result in economic losses of up to €250 billion between 2025 and 2028, equivalent to 6.8% of Germany's GDP [7] - The ongoing trade dynamics have left Europe in a passive position, unable to confront China or negotiate effectively with the US, leading to a gradual loss of competitive capital [7]