Trump vies for Bush's crown for worst foreign policy decision in history 这又是一个注定遗臭万年的日子。但与富兰克林·罗斯福以沉重的语气向国会联席会议宣战不同，唐纳 德·特朗普用他自己的方式宣战。 美国总统头戴白色"USA"字样棒球帽，身穿深色外套和敞开领口的白色衬衫。他站在印有美国总 统徽章的蓝色讲台前，手持黑色麦克风，身后是星条旗，据推测，他当时位于佛罗里达州的海湖 庄园。周六凌晨2点30分，他在自己的社交媒体平台Truth Social上发布了一段视频——此时大 多数美国人都已入睡，但特朗普经常在深夜愤怒地发推文。 最后，在炸弹已经落下之后，他试图在社交媒体视频中为自己的行为辩解。他说，伊朗"直接危 及"美国及其盟友的安全。特朗普回顾了伊朗人质危机、海军陆战队兵营爆炸案、科尔号驱逐舰 遇袭事件以及伊朗在伊拉克杀害和致残美军的行径。 "这是一场大规模的恐怖主义，我们绝不会再容忍下去了，"他说。但这些话都没有回答一个简单 的问题：为什么是现在？ 美国总统在一段八分钟的视频中，再次试图推翻中东政权，此举颠覆了美国半个世纪以来的外交政策。 ...

这一观点，也与该智库稍早前另一篇分析美国政府在委内瑞拉的行动是否算得上"成功"的文章形成了呼 应。该文章认为，虽然美方在对马杜罗的强行控制中没有出现美方人员折损的情况，但这种表面上所谓 的"成功"背后，却暗藏着意想不到的恶果。 在美国总统特朗普于当地时间周二晚发表的国情咨文演讲中，虽然外交政策在其中所占的比例很少，但 美国政府在今年伊始对委内瑞拉总统马杜罗实施的强行控制，却被他在发言中着重提及，称这是美 国"巨大的胜利"。 从该文章的分析来看，首先，美国政府在强行控制马杜罗的动机上就存在明显问题，不同官员之间的说 法存在明显矛盾，有的说是为了让马杜罗来美国接受涉及毒品的"审判"，也有的说是为了震慑以古巴为 首的拉美左翼势力，但特朗普本人却说是为了"接管"委内瑞拉，让美国获得委内瑞拉的石油等资源。 然而，美国不少国际关系学者却并不认为这是美国的"胜利"。有智库更直言，即便是从美国的国家利益 角度来看，强行控制马杜罗给美国利益埋下的隐患，恐怕更为巨大。 美国智库史汀生中心就在一篇回顾特朗普国情咨文演讲的文章中表示，虽然特朗普把今年1月美国政府 强行控制马杜罗的行动视作一场大胜，但他的政府对于接下来该如何与委内瑞拉 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights widespread dissatisfaction with the current U.S. government, particularly regarding its domestic and foreign policies, which have significantly damaged the country's international image and threatened global peace and stability [1][2]. - A global survey conducted by CGTN revealed that 84% of respondents expressed high dissatisfaction with the U.S. government's performance, with 86.2% condemning the "America First" foreign policy and 89.6% considering the U.S. performance in international affairs as a failure [1]. - The survey also indicated that 91.3% of respondents believe the U.S. national reputation has declined over the past year, and 91.1% lack confidence in the government's future performance [1]. Group 2 - A separate survey involving 15,688 respondents from 38 countries identified "irresponsible power" and "world's biggest source of chaos" as the most prominent impressions of the U.S. [2]. - In 2025, 71.4% of respondents felt that the U.S. does not consider the interests of other countries when formulating foreign policy, an increase of 8.5 percentage points from the previous year [2]. - The survey also found that 63.8% of respondents believe the U.S. severely undermines the current international order, a rise of 9.7 percentage points, and 63.4% think U.S. policies pose a serious threat to world peace, increasing by 10.3 percentage points [2].

Core Viewpoint - President Trump's comments regarding Greenland have escalated, indicating a willingness to take a hard approach if an agreement for the U.S. to take over the territory cannot be reached [1][2]. Group 1 - Trump has long proposed incorporating Greenland into the U.S., citing its importance to national security [2]. - Recent U.S. military actions, including a raid to capture Venezuelan leader Maduro, have heightened Trump's focus on Greenland, raising concerns among allies about potential military actions to achieve foreign policy goals [2]. - When asked about the possibility of offering money to entice Greenland residents to agree to the U.S. takeover, Trump stated he is not currently discussing payment for Greenland [2][3]. Group 2 - Trump mentioned that he might discuss the payment issue in the future, but emphasized that actions regarding Greenland will be taken regardless of local preferences [3].

Group 1: U.S. Military Actions in Venezuela - U.S. military operations in Venezuela, named "Absolute Resolve," were initiated at the request of the Justice Department, involving over 150 aircraft from 20 different bases [7][8] - The operation included air, land, and sea forces, showcasing U.S. military strength and capabilities [3] - The U.S. has captured Venezuelan President Maduro and his wife, transporting them to a military base in New York after a raid in Caracas [6][9] Group 2: Political Implications and Threats - President Trump indicated that Cuba and Colombia could become focal points in U.S. policy discussions as tensions in Latin America escalate [2] - Trump stated that all political and military figures in Venezuela should be aware that they could face similar consequences as Maduro [5] - The U.S. plans to manage Venezuela until a safe transition of power occurs, with no set timeline for returning control to Venezuelan authorities [5] Group 3: Economic Considerations - Trump announced intentions to allow major U.S. oil companies to enter Venezuela to invest billions in repairing the country's oil infrastructure [4] - The U.S. maintains a complete embargo on Venezuelan oil, citing the country's harboring of foreign hostile forces [4]

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. military operation to oust Venezuelan leader Nicolas Maduro is viewed as a significant success for the Trump administration, demonstrating a willingness to use military force in foreign policy despite potential risks and uncertainties ahead [1][19][20]. Group 1: Operation Details - The operation resulted in the removal of Maduro, described by the Trump administration as an "illegitimate" dictator and a "narco-terrorist" responsible for drug trafficking affecting the U.S. and Europe [1][19]. - Trump characterized the operation as "brilliant," indicating a strong endorsement of the military action taken [2][19]. - The operation was the culmination of pressure from within the administration, particularly from Secretary of State Marco Rubio and other opponents of Maduro [11][19]. Group 2: Future Implications - The immediate future for Venezuela is uncertain, with questions about who will fill the power vacuum left by Maduro and how the country will address ongoing issues like hyperinflation and shortages of food and medicine [2][19]. - European allies expressed concern over the U.S. military presence in the Caribbean and the implications of the operation for international law and order [7][8][19]. - The operation may set a precedent for U.S. adversaries, with potential implications for China's ambitions regarding Taiwan and Russia's actions in Ukraine [5][20]. Group 3: Political Reactions - The operation has drawn criticism from some U.S. lawmakers, including Democrats who labeled it as illegal and an overreach of U.S. military power [9][10][19]. - Russia condemned the U.S. action as an "act of armed aggression," emphasizing the need for Venezuela to determine its own future without foreign intervention [10][19]. - In South Florida, the operation was celebrated by the Venezuelan diaspora as a pivotal moment for democracy in the region, with comparisons made to historical events like the fall of the Berlin Wall [12][19]. Group 4: Negotiation Dynamics - Maduro had previously sought a negotiated exit from power, proposing a plan to step down in three years, which was rejected by the White House due to concerns over his legitimacy [14][19]. - The Trump administration's stance has been that Maduro's days in power were numbered, with ongoing discussions about the future leadership of Venezuela [15][18][19]. - The administration's involvement in shaping the next government in Caracas remains a critical question, with potential candidates like Edmundo Gonzalez being considered by opposition groups [17][18].

Core Viewpoint - A significant portion of the public in several of America's closest allies views the U.S. as a "negative force" on the global stage, particularly in light of the Trump administration's foreign policy reforms [1][5]. Group 1: Public Perception of the U.S. - The poll conducted by Politico and Public First surveyed 10,510 adults across the U.S., Canada, the UK, France, and Germany, revealing that many believe the U.S. tends to create problems rather than solve them, with 63% of Canadians holding this view [1][5]. - In Germany and France, a majority of respondents also perceive the U.S. as a negative influence, while in the UK, over one-third share this negative assessment [1][3]. Group 2: Support vs. Challenge to Allies - Canadians exhibit the strongest critical stance, with 60% believing the U.S. is challenging its allies, while only 25% think it supports them [3]. - In Germany, 46% view the U.S. as a challenger, compared to 29% who see it as supportive; in France, 45% believe the U.S. challenges allies, while 33% think it supports them [3]. Group 3: Impact of U.S. Foreign Policy - The findings indicate that Trump's broad trade agenda and tough rhetoric towards long-term allies are causing a ripple effect among Washington's closest partners [5]. - The U.S. National Security Strategy report suggests that Europe may face "civilizational extinction" in the next 20 years, prompting European leaders to call for a more cooperative approach from the U.S. [5].

Core Viewpoint - The Trump administration is dismissing a number of career diplomats appointed by former President Biden, with approximately 24 ambassadors receiving notices to leave their posts, which is considered unusual for career diplomats [1] Group 1: Diplomatic Changes - About 80 ambassador positions are currently vacant in the U.S. [1] - The dismissal of career diplomats is seen as a significant personnel change in the diplomatic system under Trump, reflecting a lack of trust in the State Department's career officials [1] - The U.S. Global Diplomatic Service Association confirmed that several ambassadors reported receiving phone calls instructing them to leave by January 15 or 16, without specific reasons provided [1] Group 2: Implications for U.S. Diplomacy - The removal of these ambassadors is believed to undermine the effectiveness of U.S. foreign policy execution and damage the country's diplomatic standing [1] - The State Department stated that recalling ambassadors is a standard procedure for any administration, emphasizing the president's right to appoint representatives who can advance the "America First" agenda [1] - Despite the rapid removal of Biden's political appointees, the Trump administration has been slow to fill many ambassador positions, with some nominations stalled in the Senate [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Trump administration is dismissing a significant number of career diplomats appointed by former President Biden, which is an unusual move that may undermine the U.S. diplomatic standing [1] Group 1: Dismissal of Diplomats - Approximately 24 ambassadors have been notified to leave their positions by January 15 or 16, as confirmed by a State Department official [1] - The move is seen as rare since these ambassadors are career diplomats, who typically remain in their roles regardless of presidential changes [1] - John Dinkelman, president of the American Foreign Service Association, expressed concerns that this action could damage confidence in the ability of career diplomats to effectively execute U.S. foreign policy [1] Group 2: Government's Justification - The State Department stated that recalling ambassadors is a standard procedure for any administration, emphasizing that ambassadors are the president's personal representatives [1] - The administration's approach reflects a lack of trust in career diplomats, which is a departure from the norm where such diplomats usually continue to serve [1] Group 3: Impact on Diplomatic Positions - There are currently about 80 ambassadorial positions vacant, highlighting a slow pace in filling these roles under the Trump administration [1] - The Senate Foreign Relations Committee's Democratic chief member, Jeanne Shaheen, criticized the administration for replacing experienced career ambassadors, suggesting it cedes U.S. leadership to other major powers [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Trump administration is reportedly dismissing a significant number of career diplomats, specifically 24 ambassadors appointed by former President Biden, which is an unusual move that could undermine the U.S. diplomatic standing [1] Group 1: Dismissal of Ambassadors - Approximately 24 career ambassadors have received notifications to leave their posts by January 15 or 16, as confirmed by the Global Diplomatic Service Association [1] - The dismissal of these ambassadors is seen as a rare occurrence, as typically career diplomats remain in their positions regardless of presidential changes [1] Group 2: Impact on U.S. Diplomacy - John Dinkelman, president of the Global Diplomatic Service Association, expressed concerns that this action will damage the credibility of U.S. diplomacy and erode confidence in the ability of career diplomats to effectively implement U.S. foreign policy [1] - The State Department stated that recalling ambassadors is a standard procedure for any administration, emphasizing the president's right to appoint representatives who can advance the "America First" agenda [1] Group 3: Political Context - The article highlights that while political appointees are often replaced quickly by new administrations, career diplomats are usually retained due to their perceived loyalty to U.S. foreign policy [1] - The Trump administration's distrust of career diplomats is noted, along with the slow pace of filling ambassadorial positions, leading to approximately 80 ambassadorial vacancies [1]