Group 1 - The market's recent rebound after consecutive declines is not surprising, but the extent of this rebound is uncertain. The CSI 1000 index has shown resilience and is closer to its previous high, increasing the likelihood of setting a new high. However, the ChiNext index is further from its previous high, making it more challenging to reach new highs. The Shanghai Composite Index faces difficulties due to weak heavyweight stocks [1][3] - It is expected that there will be at least a process of upward fluctuation on Tuesday, with Thursday being a critical time window as it marks the beginning of autumn. If the market moves upward, indices like ChiNext may have a chance to set new highs, forming a double top. Conversely, if the market turns downward, the high point from July 30 may become the peak of this upward trend [1] Group 2 - The U.S. stock market has rebounded after a decline, but this rebound is expected to last no more than three days. If a medium to long bearish trend emerges, the likelihood of a market peak increases, potentially leading to a rapid decline. A significant downturn in the U.S. market would likely impact global markets [4] - Recent U.S. non-farm payroll data was disappointing, and prior data was significantly revised downwards, indicating a risk of rapid economic decline. Technical analysis of the U.S. stock market shows classic top signals, suggesting a potential market peak. The ongoing trade war and its implications for the global economy are also highlighted as significant risks [5]