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欧元突破1.14关键阻力位创4月新高,美元指数多重压力下投资者转向欧洲
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-10 05:31
Group 1 - The global foreign exchange market is at a critical turning point, with the volatility of the US dollar creating opportunities for other major currencies [1] - The European Central Bank (ECB) officials are calling for an enhancement of the euro's international status, indicating a shift in focus towards the European market [1] - Investor allocation strategies are changing, with a growing demand for diversification leading to increased attention on the European market [1] Group 2 - The euro has shown a strong upward trend against the US dollar, breaking the key resistance level of 1.14, with a recent high of 1.1454 on June 4 [3] - Data from the cross-currency basis swap market indicates a rising preference among investors for euro financing, contrasting with the historical trend of paying a premium for US dollar financing [3] - The relatively slow reduction of the ECB's balance sheet provides structural support for the euro, while the comparison of the US long-term budget deficit with Europe's stable net international investment position further strengthens the euro's relative advantage [3] Group 3 - The US dollar is facing multiple pressures, with non-farm payroll data aligning with signs of a slowing economy, which continues to exert pressure on the dollar [4] - The dollar index is under pressure from various factors, prompting investors to reassess their allocation towards dollar assets [4] - The dominance of the dollar as the international reserve currency is being challenged, as the economic size and trade scale of the eurozone provide a competitive foundation for the euro [4]