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前美联储三号人物淡化美联储内部分歧,直言两位反对票理事另有动机
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-05 00:23
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the challenges faced by the Federal Reserve, particularly the pressure from President Trump and dissent within the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) regarding interest rate decisions [1][2][3]. Group 1: Federal Reserve's Internal Dynamics - Dudley highlights that the dissent during the recent FOMC meeting is a significant event, marking the first time since 1993 that multiple members opposed a decision to maintain interest rates [1]. - The dissenting votes from two Trump-appointed members, Bowman and Waller, are seen as an exaggeration of internal divisions within the Fed [3][4]. - Dudley emphasizes that the influence of President Trump over Powell is limited, as the Supreme Court has ruled that the Fed Chair can only be removed for "just cause," which does not include the issues raised by Trump [2][3]. Group 2: Future of Federal Reserve Leadership - Even if Trump appoints Powell's successor, Dudley argues that the new chair may not fully comply with presidential demands, especially if they conflict with the Fed's statutory mission [3]. - Dudley suggests that it would be surprising if Trump could appoint more than two or three FOMC members during his current term, limiting his control over the committee [3][4]. Group 3: Public Perception and Credibility - Dudley asserts that the recent criticisms of Powell and the Fed's policies are overstated, particularly regarding the Fed's role in addressing climate change, which he believes falls within its core financial stability functions [5]. - He argues that the Fed's efforts during the 2008 financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic to stabilize markets should be praised rather than criticized, reinforcing the importance of the Fed's independence [6].