美联储鹰派基调
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杨呈发:黄金维持看空思路不变 今日黄金走势分析
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-20 10:07
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that gold prices are experiencing fluctuations, with current trading around $4088 per ounce after a brief surge to $4132.66 per ounce, followed by a decline due to a stronger US dollar and hawkish Federal Reserve meeting minutes [1][3] - The recent price movements suggest that the gold market is in a digestion phase following previous declines, with limited upward momentum, potentially leading to a continuation of the downtrend [3] - Market sentiment may shift as upcoming economic data is expected to impact gold prices, with the possibility of a deeper correction if the data is unfavorable for gold [3] Group 2 - The current trading range for gold is anticipated to be between $4100 and $4040, with key support levels identified at $4060-55 and $4030 [3] - The market is closely monitoring the upcoming non-farm payroll data, which could influence gold's price direction, with a potential for a preemptive breakdown due to market sentiment [3]
【UNforex财经事件】美联储鹰派与贸易缓和并存黄金高位震荡等待方向
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-30 11:24
Group 1 - The Federal Reserve has lowered interest rates by 25 basis points for the second time this year, indicating internal divisions among officials regarding inflation concerns and the risks of overly accommodative policies [1] - The FOMC minutes suggest that the Fed may end its current asset reduction process by December, with Chairman Powell emphasizing that future policy adjustments will rely more on economic data, downplaying the likelihood of further rate cuts [1] - Market sentiment has turned cautious, with investors awaiting new macroeconomic guidance, as the dollar's short-term strength limits gold's upward momentum [1] Group 2 - Technically, gold is consolidating near the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, indicating weakened bullish momentum, with key resistance at the $4000 level and potential upward movement to $4058-$4060 if broken [2] - Support for gold is at $3950, with further declines possible to the $3916-$3900 range if this level is breached, and a significant drop below could test the $3850 mark [2] - The interplay between the Fed's policy direction and the delicate balance of US-China relations may lead to continued high-level fluctuations in gold prices, with upcoming US CPI data and Treasury Secretary speeches being critical for future monetary policy signals [2]