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奥特维 | 点评:串焊机获7亿元大单,看好组件设备龙头穿越周期&平台化布局
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-26 10:28
Core Viewpoint - The company maintains a "Buy" rating, with strong revenue growth expected in 2023 and 2024, followed by a decline in subsequent years, while profitability is projected to stabilize in the long term [2][6]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - Total revenue is projected to reach RMB 6,302 million in 2023, increasing to RMB 9,198 million in 2024, before declining to RMB 6,681 million in 2025, and further to RMB 6,218 million in 2026, with a slight recovery to RMB 6,465 million in 2027 [2][6]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be RMB 1,255.82 million in 2023, slightly increasing to RMB 1,272.90 million in 2024, but dropping to RMB 678.82 million in 2025, and then to RMB 607.21 million in 2026, with a recovery to RMB 640.46 million in 2027 [2][6]. - The latest diluted EPS is projected to be RMB 3.98 in 2023, RMB 4.04 in 2024, and then decreasing to RMB 2.15 in 2025, RMB 1.93 in 2026, and recovering to RMB 2.03 in 2027 [2][6]. - The P/E ratio is expected to be 9.81 in 2023, 9.68 in 2024, increasing to 18.16 in 2025, 20.30 in 2026, and slightly decreasing to 19.24 in 2027 [2][6]. Market Developments - The company has secured a RMB 700 million order from a leading customer for its string welding machines, indicating strong demand for its multi-slice technology that enhances power efficiency in photovoltaic modules [3]. - The overseas market is becoming a core source of orders, with RMB 3.5 billion in overseas orders expected in 2024, where 72% are from pure overseas customers, and 40% of total orders in the first three quarters of 2025 are expected to come from overseas [4]. - The company is evolving into an automation platform that spans photovoltaic, lithium battery, and semiconductor sectors, with significant market share in various segments, including over 60% in string welding machines [5]. Financial Position - The company's total assets are projected to be RMB 14,029 million in 2024, with current assets of RMB 11,604 million and total liabilities of RMB 9,902 million [7]. - The net profit margin is expected to be 13.84% in 2024, decreasing to 10.16% in 2025, and stabilizing around 9.77% in 2026 and 9.91% in 2027 [7]. - The company anticipates a return on equity (ROE) of 31.25% in 2024, declining to 14.29% in 2025, and further to 11.33% in 2026, before recovering to 10.68% in 2027 [7].
奥特维(688516):业绩受行业周期影响短期承压,看好平台化布局、海外市场拓展
Soochow Securities· 2025-08-27 08:04
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's performance is currently under pressure due to industry cycles, but there is optimism regarding its platform layout and expansion into overseas markets [1] - The company has seen a significant decline in revenue and net profit projections for 2025-2027, but the semiconductor and lithium battery businesses are expected to continue growing [1] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 6,302 million RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 78.05%. However, for 2025, revenue is expected to decline to 7,092 million RMB, representing a decrease of 22.89% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2023 is estimated at 1,255.82 million RMB, with a year-on-year increase of 76.10%. By 2025, this is expected to drop to 729.46 million RMB, a decline of 42.69% [1] - The latest diluted EPS for 2023 is projected at 3.98 RMB, which is expected to fall to 2.31 RMB in 2025 [1] - The current P/E ratio is approximately 10.39 for 2023, increasing to 17.88 for 2025 [1] Operational Insights - In the first half of 2025, the company reported total revenue of 3,379 million RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 23.6%. The revenue from photovoltaic equipment was 2,665 million RMB, down 31.6% [7] - The company has seen a significant increase in orders for semiconductor equipment, with new orders exceeding 90 million RMB in the first half of 2025 [7] - The overseas revenue reached 790 million RMB in the first half of 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of 10.1% and accounting for 23.4% of total revenue [7] Market Position - The company is positioned as a platform company across photovoltaic, lithium battery, and semiconductor sectors, with notable clients including Trina Solar and LONGi Green Energy [7] - The company has accelerated its overseas expansion, with a factory in Malaysia commencing operations in the first half of 2025 [7]