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地平线(9660.HK),中国智驾供应商领头羊,踏上“征程”
贝塔投资智库· 2025-07-24 04:24
Core Viewpoint - Horizon Robotics (9660.HK) is a leading provider of intelligent driving assistance solutions for passenger vehicles in China, ranking first in the advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) market with over 40% market share in 2024 [1] Business Segments - The main business segments include product solutions, licensing and service business, and non-vehicle solutions [2] Product Solutions - The company offers a comprehensive range of advanced driver assistance and high-level autonomous driving solutions, from mainstream assistance (L2) to advanced autonomous driving (L2+) compliant with Chinese regulations, including Horizon Mono, Horizon Pilot, and Horizon SuperDrive [3] Horizon Mono - Positioned as an active safety advanced driving assistance solution, it enhances daily driving safety and comfort, utilizing visual sensors and optional radar to identify various objects [5] Horizon Pilot - This solution provides a safe and efficient driving experience on highways, featuring advanced tasks such as automatic lane changes and parking assistance [6][7] Horizon SuperDrive - An end-to-end urban driving assistance system that theoretically supports high-level autonomous driving up to L4, utilizing a combination of visual sensors, radar, and LiDAR [8] Non-Vehicle Solutions - The non-vehicle solutions are primarily managed by the subsidiary Diguo Robotics, offering products like lawn mowers and air purifiers, benefiting from significant synergies with automotive solutions [9] Licensing and Service Business - The company provides algorithm and software licensing and technical support to automotive clients, which has become a major revenue source, significantly increasing overall gross margins [10] Financial Performance - The company achieved revenues of 910 million, 1.55 billion, and 2.38 billion yuan for 2022, 2023, and 2024, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 94%, 71%, and 54% [11] - The gross margins for the same years were 69.3%, 70.5%, and 77.3% [11] - By 2024, the revenue breakdown is expected to be 664 million from product solutions, 1.647 billion from licensing and services, and 72 million from non-vehicle solutions [11] Market Outlook - According to the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, China's vehicle sales are projected to reach 31.436 million units in 2024, with new energy vehicle sales at 12.888 million units, indicating a growth rate of 34.4% [15] - The penetration rate of L2+ intelligent driving functions is expected to rise to 8.5% in 2024, with significant growth anticipated in urban NOA functions by 2030 [15] Market Performance - In the Chinese market, Horizon Robotics delivered 67,853 units in May 2025, capturing a market share of 9.8%, with a total delivery of 253,241 units in the first five months [18] - The company ranks third in ADAS front camera chip manufacturing, with a market share of 13.0% [21] Recent Shareholding Changes - As of the end of 2024, Baiji held 5.27% of the company's shares and increased its stake to 4.95% in June 2025 [22] Stock Price Drivers - The company anticipates delivering approximately 2.9 million product solutions in 2024, with cumulative deliveries reaching around 7.7 million [23] - The launch of the "Journey 6P" SoC is expected to enhance the company's market position significantly [23]