自然系统建模

Search documents
谷歌诺奖大神哈萨比斯:五年内一半几率实现AGI,游戏、物理和生命的本质都是计算
AI科技大本营· 2025-07-25 06:10
Core Insights - The conversation between Lex Fridman and Demis Hassabis focuses on the future of artificial intelligence (AI), particularly the potential for achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) within the next five years, with a 50% probability of success [3][4] - Hassabis emphasizes the ability of classical machine learning algorithms to model and discover patterns in nature, suggesting that all evolutionary patterns can be effectively modeled [5][10] - The discussion also highlights the transformative impact of AI on video games, envisioning a future where players can co-create personalized, dynamic open worlds [3][28] Group 1: AI and AGI - Demis Hassabis predicts a 50% chance of achieving AGI in the next five years, asserting that all patterns in nature can be modeled by classical learning algorithms [3][4] - The conversation explores the idea that natural systems have structure shaped by evolutionary processes, which can be learned and modeled by AI [9][12] - Hassabis believes that building AGI will help scientists answer fundamental questions about the nature of reality [3][4] Group 2: AI in Gaming - The future of video games is discussed, with Hassabis expressing a desire to create games that allow for dynamic storytelling and player co-creation [28][32] - He envisions AI systems that can generate content in real-time, leading to truly open-world experiences where every player's journey is unique [32][33] - The potential for AI to revolutionize game design is highlighted, with Hassabis reflecting on his early experiences in game development and the advancements in AI technology [38][39] Group 3: Computational Complexity - The conversation touches on the P vs NP problem, with Hassabis suggesting that many complex problems can be modeled efficiently using classical systems [15][17] - He believes that understanding the dynamics of systems can lead to efficient solutions for complex challenges, such as protein folding and game strategies [19][20] - The discussion emphasizes the importance of information as a fundamental unit of the universe, which relates to the P vs NP question [16][17] Group 4: AI and Scientific Discovery - Hassabis discusses the potential of AI systems to assist in scientific discovery by combining evolutionary algorithms with large language models (LLMs) [49][51] - He highlights the importance of creativity in science, suggesting that AI may struggle to propose novel hypotheses, which is a critical aspect of scientific advancement [59][60] - The conversation emphasizes the need for AI to not only solve problems but also to generate new ideas and directions for research [60][62] Group 5: Future Aspirations - Hassabis expresses a long-standing ambition to simulate a biological cell, viewing it as a significant challenge that could lead to breakthroughs in understanding life [64][65] - He reflects on the importance of breaking down grand scientific ambitions into manageable steps to achieve meaningful progress [64][65] - The conversation concludes with a vision for the future of AI, where it can contribute to both gaming and scientific exploration, merging creativity with computational power [39][64]