Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The company reported a slight decline in revenue and a significant drop in net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with total revenue of 17.48 billion yuan, down 0.06% year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.089 billion yuan, down 14.28% year-on-year [3][6] - The decline in ticket prices was less severe than the industry average, but engine issues increased unit costs, affecting profitability [4][6] - The company is expected to benefit from a recovery in travel demand, which may lead to a continuous rise in ticket prices and improved profitability in the future [6][7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 17.48 billion yuan, with quarterly revenues of 5.722 billion, 5.345 billion, and 6.413 billion yuan for Q1, Q2, and Q3 respectively [3] - The net profit for the same period was 1.089 billion yuan, with quarterly net profits of 345 million, 160 million, and 584 million yuan for Q1, Q2, and Q3 respectively [3] - The company’s unit RPK revenue in Q3 was 0.502 yuan, down 1.5% year-on-year, while unit ASK revenue was 0.435 yuan, down 0.5% year-on-year [4] Operational Metrics - The company’s total ASK decreased by 1.4% year-on-year, with domestic ASK down 6.9% and international ASK up 18.7% [5] - The overall passenger load factor for Q3 was 86.6%, with domestic and international load factors at 88.8% and 81.1% respectively [5] - The fleet size reached 130 aircraft by the end of Q3, with a net increase of 3 aircraft during the first three quarters [5] Future Outlook - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.276 billion, 1.755 billion, and 2.089 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 39.5%, 37.6%, and 19.0% [8][6] - The expected earnings per share for the same years are 0.58, 0.80, and 0.96 yuan, with corresponding P/E ratios of 23.20, 16.86, and 14.17 [8][6] - The dual-brand development strategy is anticipated to strengthen operational advantages, with performance expected to improve in the context of industry recovery [7]