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聊聊我眼中的1-8月芯片市场行情
芯世相· 2025-09-19 04:19
Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor industry is experiencing a recovery phase, with significant sales growth anticipated in the coming quarters, driven by demand from various sectors including industrial and automotive markets [3][14]. Group 1: Market Signals and Trends - In October of the previous year, early signals of recovery were noted when PCB manufacturers like Jingwang Electronics and Shennan Circuit reported full capacity [3]. - Following the election of a new political leader, there was a surge in inventory purchases as companies anticipated market changes, leading to increased demand [3]. - Global semiconductor sales peaked in mid-2022 and have shown signs of recovery since Q4 2024, with sales rebounding above previous highs [3][5]. Group 2: Company Performance and Pricing Dynamics - Companies in the chip distribution sector reported significant performance improvements, with some experiencing a doubling of orders, particularly for ADI and Microchip products [5]. - TI's price adjustments affected approximately 66,000 models, representing about 76% of its total offerings, indicating a strategic move to influence market pricing [6]. - Despite TI's price increases, the overall market did not experience a widespread price surge, suggesting a cautious approach from manufacturers [6]. Group 3: Memory Market Insights - The memory market has seen substantial price increases, with Micron's prices doubling from January to March and again from March to May [10][12]. - There is a growing trend of memory manufacturers attempting to control prices through production adjustments, which has led to a more volatile market environment [12]. - The demand for small capacity eMMC has surged, with sales reported to be twice that of the previous year, indicating a strong recovery in the memory segment [10]. Group 4: Capacity and Supply Chain Dynamics - Domestic wafer fabs are reportedly operating at full capacity, with significant demand noted even when the downstream market appears stable [13][14]. - The supply chain is experiencing delays and shortages, particularly for domestic brands, while overseas markets are not facing the same level of pressure [14]. - The semiconductor industry is expected to see a delayed transmission of recovery signals to distributors and end-users, as the supply chain is complex and lengthy [14].
要停产的DDR4存储芯片,暴涨之后怎样了?
芯世相· 2025-08-01 09:46
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent fluctuations in the DDR4 memory chip market, highlighting the dramatic price increases and subsequent stabilization observed in July 2023, along with shifts in demand and supply dynamics in the industry [3][11][20]. Group 1: Market Trends - In June 2023, DDR4 memory prices surged dramatically, with some models experiencing price increases of 150%-400% following Micron's announcement of DDR4 production halts [4][5]. - By July 2023, the market began to cool down, with most DDR4 models stabilizing in price and some experiencing slight declines [6][11]. - Specific price examples include Micron's 8GB DDR4 dropping from over $8 to around $7, while 16GB DDR4 prices fell from $20-21 to $17-25 [8][10]. Group 2: Demand Shifts - The demand landscape has changed, with end-users now seeking older batches of memory chips due to lower prices, contrasting with the previous month when traders were aggressively buying [12]. - Taiwanese manufacturers like Nanya and Winbond have gained traction in the market, with Nanya's 8GB DDR4 prices rising from $1.9 to over $4 following Micron's production halt [13][15]. Group 3: Supply Dynamics - Nanya has increased its DDR4 production, with expectations of a significant rise in contract prices in the upcoming quarters due to tight supply [14][15]. - There are indications that major manufacturers like Samsung and SK Hynix may reconsider their production halts in response to the ongoing demand for DDR4 chips [18]. Group 4: Industry Outlook - The overall semiconductor market is showing signs of recovery, with a reported 19.8% year-on-year growth in global semiconductor sales expected by May 2025 [20][21]. - Different segments of the industry are experiencing varied recovery rates, emphasizing the need for distributors to remain agile and ready to capitalize on emerging opportunities [21].
ADI、MPS、Skyworks…近期热门芯片盘点!
芯世相· 2025-05-27 06:07
Core Viewpoint - The current spot market for chips has cooled down compared to last month, with many previously hot models experiencing a decline in demand and prices. However, there remains active demand for storage and analog chips from various brands, presenting market opportunities [3]. Group 1: Upcoming Product Changes - The eMMC chip KLM4G1FETE-B041 is set to be discontinued, with its price rising from approximately 15 yuan to around 30 yuan since May. The last order date is June 30, 2025, and the final shipment date is March 31, 2026 [6][4]. Group 2: Price Trends of Key Components - The LTM4644IY / LTM4644IYPBF voltage regulator has seen a significant drop in demand, with prices falling from 450 yuan in April to about 360 yuan currently [11][10]. - The STM32F103C8T6 MCU remains popular but has experienced a price decline from around 5.5 yuan in April to between 4 and 4.5 yuan this month [14][15]. - The MP9943GQ-Z chip has seen increased demand, with prices rising to approximately 3.5 yuan, surpassing last year's levels [20][19]. - The DDR4 chip H9HCNNNBKMMLXR-NEE has seen a price increase from around 30 yuan to approximately 45 yuan, attributed to reduced production from suppliers [24][23]. - The SE5004L-R RF amplifier has experienced a price surge from about 15 yuan to around 50 yuan, with some quotes exceeding 60 yuan due to high demand and limited supply [26][25]. - The ADL5561ACPZ-R7 amplifier has seen a price decrease from over 60 yuan at the beginning of the year to around 50 yuan [28][27].