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英国降息预期
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英镑下跌,此前英国就业数据疲软
Jin Rong Jie· 2026-02-17 08:00
Core Viewpoint - The British pound has declined against the US dollar and the euro following data indicating a cooling labor market and slowing wage growth in the UK [1] Group 1: Labor Market Data - The unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 5.2% from the previous quarter's 5.1% [1] - Average wage growth excluding bonuses was 4.2%, down from the prior 4.4% [1] - The number of employees on payroll decreased by 6,000 during the November to December period [1] Group 2: Market Reactions - The data has reinforced expectations for a potential interest rate cut, with a 72% probability of a 25 basis point cut in March reflected in the money markets [1] - Following the data release, the pound fell to an 11-day low of 1.3549 USD from 1.3612 USD prior to the announcement [1] - The euro rose from 0.8700 GBP to a one-week high of 0.8730 GBP [1]