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三大投行一致聚焦:当下为何应该买入苹果(AAPL.US)?
智通财经网· 2025-06-06 00:36
Group 1: Core Investment Thesis - Apple is currently trading at a forward P/E ratio of approximately 25-27, which is considered low compared to its valuation range since 2020, suggesting potential for price appreciation [5][1] - The market has not fully recognized the growth potential of Apple's services business, which is expected to drive significant revenue growth in the coming years [5][9] - Apple maintains a strong competitive advantage through its ecosystem and brand, supported by substantial R&D investments, which positions the company for continued growth despite regulatory and competitive challenges [2][1] Group 2: Bullish Perspectives - Apple is expected to see a structural growth in its services business, which will help offset cyclical downturns in product sales, particularly in the iPhone segment [9][1] - The company has multiple growth avenues, including advertising, AI services, finance, health, robotics, and media, which are anticipated to contribute to revenue growth [4][1] - The increasing install base of Apple devices supports the growth of its services, with a strong commitment to share buybacks and dividends as the company transitions to a net cash position [4][1] Group 3: Bearish Perspectives - Concerns exist regarding Apple's execution capabilities in the AI sector, with missed deadlines and feature delays raising doubts about its competitive position [3][1] - The company faces regulatory pressures that could impact its high-margin App Store revenues, alongside questions about future growth drivers and product innovation [3][1] - There is skepticism about the sustainability of growth in Apple's services business, with some investors believing that growth may be slowing [3][1] Group 4: Financial Performance and Projections - Goldman Sachs reported that App Store spending in April and May 2025 increased by 12% and 13% year-over-year, respectively, indicating a positive trend in service revenue [6][7] - The App Store is projected to remain the largest category of Apple's service revenue, contributing significantly to overall growth [6][8] - Financial forecasts suggest total revenue growth of 3.4% for FY2025 and 7.3% for FY2026, with service revenue expected to grow by 11.5% in FY2026 [15][1]