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Novartis(NVS) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-28 14:00
Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, net sales grew by 7% year-over-year, and core operating income also increased by 7%, with a core margin of 39.3% [4][26] - Excluding negative adjustments, underlying growth would have been 9% for net sales and 11% for core operating income, driven by priority brands and new launches [26][27] - Core EPS reached $2.25, reflecting a 10% increase, and free cash flow totaled $6.2 billion [27][28] - For the first nine months, net sales grew by 11%, core operating income increased by 18%, and core EPS was up 21% at $6.94 [27][28] Business Line Performance - Kisqali experienced a 68% growth in Q3, with U.S. growth at 91%, making it a leader in both metastatic and early breast cancer markets [5][6] - Pluvicto grew by 45% in constant currency, with U.S. sales up 53%, driven by new patient starts [10][11] - Leqvio sales increased by 54%, on track for over $1 billion in annual sales, with strong performance in both the U.S. and international markets [13][14] - Scemblix grew by 95% in constant currency, becoming the most prescribed TKI by NBRx in the U.S. [15] - Cosentyx had a mixed quarter, with a slight decline in growth due to one-time effects, but remains on track for mid-single-digit growth for the full year [16][17] Market Performance - Kisqali's early breast cancer indication is approved in 56 countries, with significant growth potential outside the U.S. [6][10] - Pluvicto is expected to reach peak sales potential with ongoing approvals in Japan and China [12] - Leqvio shows strong uptake in various international markets, particularly in China and the Middle East [14] - Scemblix is gaining traction in both first-line and second-line settings, with a strong launch momentum in Japan [15] Company Strategy and Industry Competition - The company is focused on driving growth through its priority brands while managing the impact of generic erosion from key products [4][5] - The proposed acquisition of Avidity Biosciences is expected to enhance long-term growth prospects and support mid-single-digit growth over the long term [33][34] - The company is committed to maintaining a strong pipeline and investing in R&D to support future growth [28][29] Management Commentary on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating generic headwinds and reaffirmed guidance for high single-digit growth in net sales and low teens growth in core operating income for the full year [29][30] - The company anticipates a challenging first half of 2026 due to the impact of generics but expects to emerge stronger in the second half [31][32] - Management highlighted the importance of addressing pricing and reimbursement challenges in the current regulatory environment [38][61] Other Important Information - The company achieved significant pipeline milestones, including FDA approvals and positive phase 3 results for several key products [4][20] - Management emphasized the importance of cash flow for reinvestment and shareholder returns, with a new $10 billion share buyback program announced [28][29] Q&A Session Summary Question: Industry response to Medicaid and tariffs - Management noted ongoing discussions with the administration and emphasized the need for solutions that address underlying industry issues [38] Question: CapEx over the next five years - Management clarified that the majority of the $23 billion commitment is for R&D OpEx, with no significant increase in CapEx expected [39][40] Question: Market reaction to ATR abstract - Management expressed confidence that detailed data presentation would improve market appreciation of the product [43][44] Question: Impact of Ocrevus subcutaneous launch on Cosentyx - Management indicated no significant impact from Ocrevus, with Cosentyx maintaining its market share [69][70] Question: Pluvicto launch curve and peak sales ambition - Management stated that Pluvicto is on a strong growth trajectory, with expectations of reaching $5 billion in peak sales [52][56]