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电力设备行业点评:协会发布磷酸铁锂发展倡议书,持续助推行业价格稳定
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-08-28 01:44
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Increase" [4] Core Insights - The association has released a draft initiative to promote the healthy development of lithium iron phosphate (LFP) materials, which are crucial for the growing demand in the new energy vehicle and energy storage sectors. As of the first half of 2025, China's LFP production capacity accounts for over 95% of the global total. However, the industry faces challenges such as low capacity utilization and ongoing losses for many companies due to significant capacity expansion and volatile lithium resource prices [1][2] - The initiative includes four key recommendations: resisting malicious price competition, building a healthy supply chain ecosystem, strengthening capacity self-discipline management, and accelerating the elimination of inefficient capacity to optimize the industry structure [2] - In the first half of 2025, LFP battery installations in China accounted for over 81% of total installations, with a year-on-year shipment growth of 67%. The leading market player, Hunan Youneng, holds a 30% market share with a production of 400,000 tons [3] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The demand for lithium iron phosphate has been rising due to the booming new energy vehicle and energy storage industries. The production capacity in China is projected to exceed 95% of the global total by mid-2025 [1] Recommendations from the Initiative 1. **Resist Malicious Price Competition**: Establish a cost price index for LFP products to provide objective pricing references [2] 2. **Build a Healthy Supply Chain Ecosystem**: Encourage long-term agreements and collaboration among upstream and downstream companies to mitigate raw material price volatility [2] 3. **Strengthen Capacity Self-Discipline Management**: Implement dynamic control of capacity utilization, with measures to pause new capacity investments if utilization falls below 70% [2] 4. **Accelerate Elimination of Inefficient Capacity**: Shift competitive focus from price to technology, product performance, and service improvement [2] Market Performance - In the first half of 2025, LFP battery installations reached 244.0 GWh, representing a 73% year-on-year increase. The top ten companies showed significant production growth, with some exceeding 200% [3]