Core Viewpoint - The real estate stocks in China have shown a significant upward trend, driven by policy adjustments and improved market sentiment, particularly in major cities like Beijing, Shanghai, and Shenzhen [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Major real estate companies such as China Oceanwide Holdings (03377) saw a stock increase of 12.5%, trading at 0.153 HKD; Longfor Group (03380) rose by 11.58% to 1.06 HKD; Shimao Group (00813) increased by 8.97% to 0.425 HKD; and Sunac China (01918) gained 4.22% to 1.73 HKD [1] Group 2: Market Trends - Since Q2 of this year, the new housing market has experienced a decline in both volume and price, increasing the pressure for stabilization throughout the year [1] - Starting in August, cities like Beijing, Shanghai, and Shenzhen have implemented "city-specific policies," which are expected to boost short-term transaction volumes and enhance confidence in the long-term recovery of the industry [1] Group 3: Policy Implications - There remains significant policy space for further measures, including urban renewal initiatives and policies for the acquisition of existing housing stock [1] - The expectation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve has opened up monetary easing opportunities for China [1] Group 4: Risk Assessment - The reduction in industry risk evaluation is identified as a key factor driving the recovery of real estate stocks, with the potential for policy announcements or expectations to temporarily increase market momentum [1] - The previous decline in real estate stock prices was attributed to the negative impact on the numerator exceeding that on the denominator; however, the industry is now entering a new bottoming phase where the denominator's influence is expected to surpass that of the numerator, leading to potential stock price recovery [1]