规则化主动管理
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中国资产“价值重估”“共振上行”,“我们要成为在不同市场周期下均能创造价值的长期主动管理者”
中国基金报· 2025-09-07 23:56
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing "value re-rating" cycle in the Chinese stock market, supported by three long-term factors: improvement in corporate competitiveness, easing systemic risks, and strong policy support [4][5][6]. Group 1: Market Trends - By August 2025, the market is expected to recover, with the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing 3,800 points due to policy and capital drivers [2]. - The recent establishment of Allianz's first public fund, Allianz China Select Mixed Securities Investment Fund, in September 2024, has shown outstanding performance through innovative strategies and a "rule-based active management" system [2][3]. Group 2: Investment Strategies - Allianz Fund emphasizes a "Stand Alone" strategy for foreign investment in Chinese assets, aiming to showcase different management styles to Chinese investors [3][11]. - The fund manager, Cheng Yu, highlights the importance of systematic judgment and rapid positioning in the market, indicating that the current market dynamics favor long-term investment logic over short-term noise [5][9]. Group 3: Sector Analysis - Cheng Yu notes that both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks are undergoing a synchronized value re-rating cycle, driven by similar fundamental and expectation logic [6][7]. - Despite recent underperformance of Hong Kong stocks compared to A-shares, there are still competitive sectors within Hong Kong, such as innovative pharmaceuticals, that present investment opportunities [7]. Group 4: Asset Allocation Shifts - There is a noticeable trend of asset allocation shifting from deposits to equities among residents, indicating a gradual recovery of confidence in the market [8][9]. - The upcoming maturity of high-interest deposits is expected to drive funds towards more attractive investment options, potentially benefiting the equity market [10]. Group 5: Long-term Outlook - The article suggests that the market is laying the groundwork for a "slow bull" phase, with significant changes in financial market regulations, valuation logic, and external risk factors positively evolving [13]. - Allianz Fund maintains a high allocation to quality technology assets, believing that these sectors will yield significant excess returns in the near future [13].