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健盛集团(603558):Q2净利降幅环比收窄,下半年棉袜业务有望改善
Soochow Securities· 2025-08-14 06:56
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking the first coverage of the stock [6]. Core Views - The company has shown a narrowing decline in net profit in Q2 compared to Q1, with expectations for improvement in the cotton sock business in the second half of the year [6]. - The company is actively expanding its customer base while maintaining existing clients amidst global consumption challenges and fluctuating trade policies [6]. - The management's confidence is reflected in high dividend payouts and share buybacks, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [6]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company reported total revenue of 1.171 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.19%, while net profit was 142 million yuan, down 14.46% year-on-year [6]. - The cotton sock business faced short-term pressure, with revenue of 839 million yuan, a decrease of 0.7% year-on-year, and net profit of 109 million yuan, down 19% year-on-year [6]. - The seamless business showed stable growth, with revenue of 332 million yuan, up 2.6% year-on-year, and net profit of 32 million yuan, up 6% year-on-year [6]. - The gross profit margin for the first half of 2025 was 28.17%, a decrease of 0.72 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to increased labor costs [6]. - The report forecasts total revenue for 2025 to be 2.66 billion yuan, with a projected net profit of 311.59 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 4.10% [6]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to maintain a high dividend payout ratio of 61% and has plans for share repurchases [6]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 0.88 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 11.06 based on the current price [6]. - The report anticipates net profits of 312 million yuan, 354 million yuan, and 403 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 11, 10, and 9 [6].