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世界经济论坛 | 负责任的先进空中交通(AAM)离我们还有多远?
科尔尼管理咨询· 2025-06-27 11:21
Core Viewpoint - The development of Advanced Air Mobility (AAM) is set to revolutionize the aviation industry by creating new applications in passenger transport, cargo delivery, and infrastructure inspection, with a projected market size of nearly $80 billion by 2034 due to increasing demand for efficient, green, and rapid transportation solutions [2][3]. Group 1: AAM Market Growth and Applications - AAM is expected to grow significantly, driven by the need for efficient and sustainable transportation solutions in urban and rural areas [2]. - The AAM technology framework includes various types of aircraft, such as small drones and large electric planes, which are innovating the aviation industry through autonomous operation and propulsion system advancements [2][3]. - The current stage of AAM is characterized by a rapid growth phase, particularly in the drone application sector, with hundreds of pilot projects being implemented globally [2][3]. Group 2: Responsible AAM Implementation - The World Economic Forum and Kearney have released a white paper outlining three core elements for the responsible implementation of AAM [4][5]. - The first element focuses on establishing a responsible strategic direction for AAM, emphasizing the importance of safety, sustainability, and economic growth [6][7]. - The second element involves clarifying the primary tasks of stakeholders in the AAM value chain and promoting collaborative efforts among regulators, investors, manufacturers, and operators [18][19]. - The third element reviews key experiences from early drone deployments, which can inform larger AAM applications and highlight the complexities of real-world implementation [28][29]. Group 3: Stakeholder Responsibilities - Each stakeholder in the AAM value chain has specific responsibilities that are interconnected, requiring strategic collaboration to overcome challenges [21][22]. - Regulators are tasked with creating legal frameworks and safety standards, while investors focus on funding early pilots and infrastructure [22][23]. - Infrastructure providers must develop the necessary physical and digital infrastructure, and suppliers are responsible for creating adaptable components [25][27]. - Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) need to ensure compliance with safety standards and adapt their designs to market needs [25][27]. Group 4: Lessons from Drone Deployments - Real-world drone deployment experiences provide valuable insights for the broader AAM industry, particularly in operational feasibility, economic viability, and social acceptance [30][31]. - Successful drone applications, such as the WFP's DEEP program for disaster response, demonstrate the potential of drones in humanitarian efforts and the importance of collaboration among various stakeholders [33][34]. - The Costa Rica Flying Labs initiative showcases how local capacity building and low-cost technology can enhance environmental monitoring efforts [37][38]. - The MFTS program in India illustrates the effectiveness of drones in improving medical logistics in remote areas, emphasizing the need for stakeholder cooperation and regulatory support [42][43]. Group 5: Future Outlook for AAM - The future of AAM will depend on its ability to create social value and integrate seamlessly into existing transportation networks [49][50]. - As AAM technologies evolve, new applications will emerge, enhancing the efficiency of goods and people movement while addressing public safety and environmental monitoring needs [49][50]. - A structured, phased approach is necessary to balance innovation with safety and social acceptance, ensuring that the principles guiding AAM development are effectively implemented [48][50].