贸易政策僵局
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Northcoast预警估值风险与贸易政策僵局 下调GE航空航天(GE.US)评级至中性
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-05-20 07:03
Core Viewpoint - Northcoast Research has downgraded GE Aerospace's stock rating from "Buy" to "Neutral" due to concerns over current valuation levels after a significant price increase of 36% in recent weeks, surpassing the $235 mark [1][2] Group 1: Stock Performance and Valuation - GE Aerospace's stock price has risen significantly, attributed to easing global trade tensions, manageable impacts of import tariffs on the aerospace supply chain, improved transparency in commercial aircraft production, and positive signals from the industry [1] - The stock has exceeded Northcoast's previously set target price, with the recent gains primarily driven by short-term trading sentiment [1] - The rapid expansion of valuation has diminished long-term investment appeal, especially given the notable divergence in perceptions of the industry's outlook between aerospace suppliers and capital markets [1] Group 2: Key Concerns and Recommendations - The core contradictions leading to the rating adjustment include: 1. The stock price increase has already factored in benefits from reduced trade friction and improved production expectations, limiting further upside potential [2] 2. Profitability expectations within the aerospace supply chain still face macro risks from the stalemate in U.S. trade policy and fluctuations in end-user demand [2] 3. There is a lack of consensus within the industry regarding the stability of the supply chain and the sustainability of orders [2] - Investors are advised to adopt a wait-and-see approach until trade conditions become clearer and the risks of declining profitability in the aerospace sector are fully addressed [2]