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大行评级|花旗:预期香港超豪宅市场将持续跑赢 首选领展、太古地产等
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-18 05:47
Core Viewpoint - Citigroup's research report indicates that the Hong Kong government's Chief Executive, John Lee, has presented his fourth Policy Address, highlighting the optimization of capital investment plans and predicting that the super luxury property market will continue to outperform [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The report states that transactions for properties priced between HKD 30 million and HKD 50 million accounted for approximately 1.2% of total transactions in the first half of the year, with a transaction value of around HKD 14 billion [1] - Hong Kong real estate stocks have risen approximately 25% year-to-date, and the fourth quarter performance is expected to be driven by several factors [1] Group 2: Influencing Factors - The CCL leading index for second-hand property prices increased by 1.2% week-on-week, with a cumulative increase of 0.8% for the year; if this trend continues, it may narrow the net asset value (NAV) discount for real estate stocks [1] - Following a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve, it is estimated that Hong Kong's best lending rate will decrease by 12.5 basis points [1] - Strong retail performance is anticipated during the Golden Week in Hong Kong and mainland China [1] Group 3: Preferred Stocks - Citigroup's preferred stocks include Link REIT, Swire Properties, and New World Development, with a positive outlook on Hang Lung Properties as well [1] - The company expects an increase in pricing power for new developments, combined with potential interest rate cuts, leading to significant residential property prices and transaction volumes by the end of the year [1]