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行业周报:减肥赛道开启"长效革命",MNC加速布局高价值平台-20251123
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-11-23 06:42
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - Major multinational corporations (MNCs) such as Pfizer, Eli Lilly, and Novo Nordisk are actively expanding their long-acting pipelines and technology platforms, with Pfizer's acquisition of Metsera for approximately $9.2 billion being a significant move [4][14] - The report anticipates that long-acting new therapies will become a key competitive direction in the weight loss and diabetes treatment sectors, with increasing clinical data expected to highlight the value of these long-acting pipelines and technology platforms [14][30] Summary by Sections Long-Acting Revolution in Weight Loss - The long-acting revolution in the weight loss sector is being driven by MNCs, with Pfizer's acquisition of Metsera providing access to core assets like MET-097i and MET-233i, which are long-acting GLP-1 receptor agonists and amylin analogs [4][14] - The HALO platform from Metsera allows for significant extension of drug half-lives, with MET-097i and MET-233i having half-lives of approximately 15.8 days and 19 days, respectively [30][31] Key Technologies for Long-Acting Delivery - The report identifies several key technologies for achieving long-acting drug delivery, including: - **Antibody-Drug Conjugation**: A mature technology exemplified by Amgen's AMG133, which is in Phase III clinical trials [18] - **Fatty Acid End Modification**: Gaining attention following Pfizer's acquisition of Metsera, with platforms like MBX's dual fatty acid chain modification technology also in development [24][33] - **Subcutaneous Reservoir Controlled Release**: Widely applicable technology with strategic partnerships formed by Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk [5][12] - **Peptide Stapling Technology**: Enhances the stability of short peptides, with companies like Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical and Tonghua Dongbao developing relevant products [6][17] Recommended Companies - The report recommends focusing on innovative drugs and their supply chains, particularly in the context of flu-related investment opportunities. Monthly and weekly recommended stocks include: - Monthly: 3SBio, Innovent Biologics, Baillie Gifford, Frontier Biotechnologies, Haofan Biologics, Aopumai, Shanghai Yizhong, WuXi Biologics, Zai Lab, and Fangsheng Pharmaceutical [7] - Weekly: Yuyuan Pharmaceutical, East China Pharmaceutical, Hotgen Biotech, Yaokang Biotech, Bid Pharmaceutical, Haoyuan Pharmaceutical, and Sunshine Novo [7]
行业周报:多款减肥药亮相2025ADA,重点关注AMYR与ActRII靶点-20250629
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-06-29 06:45
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry is "Positive" (maintained) [2] Core Insights - The report highlights the emergence of multiple promising weight loss drugs showcased at the 2025 ADA conference, focusing on AMYR and ActRII target drugs, which exhibit excellent clinical data and are expected to become core targets for future weight loss drug development [6][15] - The report emphasizes the potential of oral and ultra-long-acting drugs in the weight loss and glycemic control market, which are anticipated to open new incremental market opportunities [8][31] - The report recommends several pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies as investment targets, including Heng Rui Medicine, East China Medicine, and others across various segments such as CXO, research services, traditional Chinese medicine, raw materials, medical devices, and retail pharmacies [9] Summary by Sections 1. Weight Loss Drug Developments - The 2025 ADA conference showcased several potential pipeline drugs for weight loss, with a focus on AMYR and ActRII target drugs, which are expected to lead future developments in this area [15] - AMYR-targeted drugs, such as eloralintide from Eli Lilly, demonstrated superior efficacy and safety compared to GLP-1 drugs, indicating a promising future for this class of drugs [16][18] - ActRII-targeted drugs, particularly Bimagrumab, showed significant weight loss results, with 100% of weight loss coming from fat, suggesting a new standard for high-quality weight loss therapies [28][29] 2. Oral and Ultra-Long-Acting Drugs - The report identifies oral GLP-1RA drugs as a new trend in the weight loss and glycemic control market, with several companies presenting promising clinical data at the 2025 ADA conference [31][32] - The ultra-long-acting drug Maridebart cafraglutide demonstrated effective weight loss results with extended dosing intervals, enhancing patient compliance and treatment simplicity [33][34] 3. Recommended Investment Targets - The report lists various companies across different segments as recommended investment targets, including pharmaceutical and biotechnology firms, CXO companies, research service providers, traditional Chinese medicine manufacturers, raw material suppliers, medical device companies, and retail pharmacies [9]