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关于美国政府和华尔街的根本利益冲突
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-06 11:17
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the political dynamics between President Trump and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, highlighting the implications of interest rate policies on inflation, housing rents, and the financial sector's interests in the U.S. economy [3][24]. Group 1: Interest Rates and Inflation - Powell's refusal to lower interest rates is framed as a political maneuver, potentially aimed at protecting certain financial interests rather than responding to economic indicators [4][24]. - The article argues that higher interest rates may actually lead to increased housing rents, contradicting the common belief that lower rates would alleviate rent pressures [5][13]. Group 2: Capital Flows and Economic Impact - The cross-border capital flow model suggests that high interest rates attract foreign deposits, which can lead to an expansion of the U.S. banking system while contracting foreign banks [8]. - The article posits that the U.S. economy's financialization means that many sectors rely on high interest rates to sustain their profitability, particularly in real estate and other "rent-seeking" industries [20][23]. Group 3: Government and Wall Street Conflict - The U.S. national debt has reached $36.83 trillion, and higher interest rates significantly increase the government's interest payment burden, leading to tensions between government fiscal needs and Wall Street's profit motives [17][26]. - The article suggests that a potential rate cut could trigger a withdrawal of foreign capital, exposing vulnerabilities in the U.S. economy and leading to a recession, which would shift the focus from inflation to economic contraction [24][25]. Group 4: Future Implications - The article concludes that if the Federal Reserve does not lower rates soon, it may face criticism for acting too late, as economic indicators worsen [25][26]. - It emphasizes the need to reconsider the narrative that lowering rates stimulates the economy, suggesting that this belief may be a misleading construct used by financial interests [26].