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保隆科技 | 2025Q3:业绩承压 静待客户新项目放量【民生汽车 崔琰团队】
汽车琰究· 2025-10-30 14:35
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 6.048 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 20.32%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 20.35% to 198 million yuan [3] Revenue Analysis - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.098 billion yuan, up 13.85% year-on-year and 2.59% quarter-on-quarter, driven by increased sales from key customers, particularly NIO, which delivered 87,071 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 40.77% [3] - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 21.34%, down 3.26 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to changes in product mix and price reductions from customers [3] - The net profit margin for Q3 2025 was 3.46%, down 2.32 percentage points year-on-year, despite a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.98 percentage points [3] Cost Structure - The expense ratios for sales, management, R&D, and financial costs in Q3 2025 were 2.95%, 4.84%, 7.52%, and 1.26%, respectively, showing slight year-on-year changes [3] Emerging Business Growth - The company's emerging business, particularly in sensor and ADAS (Advanced Driver Assistance Systems), saw rapid growth, with sensor revenue reaching 557 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 18.23% [5] - As of Q3 2025, the company had accumulated orders exceeding 6.87 billion yuan in the ADAS sector, indicating strong customer expansion [5] Intelligent Suspension Business - The intelligent suspension business experienced significant growth, with revenue of 953 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, up 51.73% year-on-year [6] - The company has accumulated orders exceeding 24.07 billion yuan in this sector, with new overseas orders contributing to steady growth [6] Investment Outlook - The company is expected to maintain a leading global market share in traditional businesses while developing a complete product matrix in emerging sectors, projecting revenues of 8.57 billion yuan, 10.70 billion yuan, and 12.90 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [7] - The projected net profit attributable to shareholders for the same years is 304 million yuan, 382 million yuan, and 476 million yuan, with corresponding EPS of 1.42 yuan, 1.79 yuan, and 2.23 yuan [7]