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中国中车(601766):收入及利润双增长,铁路装备及新兴业务增长较快
Huachuang Securities· 2025-08-27 06:55
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for China CNR Corporation (601766) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 119.76 billion, a year-on-year increase of 32.99%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.25 billion, a year-on-year increase of 72.48% for the first half of 2025 [1] - The second quarter revenue was 71.09 billion, a year-on-year increase of 22.85%, with a net profit of 4.19 billion, a year-on-year increase of 31.32% [1] - The report highlights rapid growth in railway equipment and emerging businesses, with significant increases in various segments [7] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2024A is projected at 246.46 billion, with a year-on-year growth rate of 5.2%. For 2025E, revenue is expected to reach 279.22 billion, reflecting a growth rate of 13.3% [3] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 12.39 billion for 2024A, with a growth rate of 5.8%, and 14.14 billion for 2025E, with a growth rate of 14.2% [3] - The report indicates an increase in gross margin and net margin, with gross margin at 21.81% and net margin at 7.45% for the first half of 2025 [7] Business Segment Performance - Railway equipment business revenue reached 59.71 billion, a year-on-year increase of 42.21%, with specific increases in various types of trains [7] - Urban rail and infrastructure business generated 17.40 billion, a year-on-year increase of 6.27%, while new industry business revenue was 40.73 billion, a year-on-year increase of 35.59% [7] - The report notes a positive trend in railway passenger flow and fixed asset investment in railways, with a 6.7% increase in passenger volume and a 5.6% increase in fixed asset investment year-on-year [7] Investment Recommendations - Given the strong performance in the first half of 2025, the report raises the company's earnings expectations, projecting revenues of 279.22 billion, 313.78 billion, and 351.98 billion for 2025-2027, respectively [7] - The target price is adjusted to 10.60 yuan, based on a 20x PE ratio for 2026, maintaining the "Strong Buy" rating [7]