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赛轮轮胎(601058):出海进程加速助力公司实现全球扩张
HTSC· 2025-10-29 04:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][4]. Core Insights - The company reported Q3 revenue of 10 billion RMB, an increase of 18.01% year-on-year and 8.99% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 1.041 billion RMB, which is a decrease of 4.71% year-on-year but an increase of 31.35% quarter-on-quarter [1][2]. - The company is experiencing a global expansion, with new production facilities in Indonesia and Mexico, and plans for further projects in Egypt, positioning itself as the largest Chinese tire manufacturer in terms of overseas capacity [3][4]. - Despite short-term challenges from U.S. tariffs and operational pressures in new factories, the company is expected to secure significant EU orders in 2026, which could lead to price increases in overseas markets and long-term growth [1][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company achieved a total revenue of 27.587 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 16.76%, with a net profit of 2.872 billion RMB, down 11.47% year-on-year [1][2]. - The average price of tire products increased by 7% year-on-year, while the average procurement price of raw materials decreased by 8% year-on-year [2]. Production and Sales - The company sold 21.3 million tires in Q3 2025, marking a 10% increase year-on-year and an 8% increase quarter-on-quarter [2]. - The company has planned a total overseas capacity of 9.75 million full-steel tires and 49 million semi-steel tires, making it the largest in this regard among Chinese tire manufacturers [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted, with expected net profits of 4 billion RMB, 4.97 billion RMB, and 6.33 billion RMB respectively, reflecting a decrease of 11% for 2025 [4][10]. - The target price for the company is set at 19.63 RMB, based on a 13x PE ratio for 2026, indicating a strong valuation relative to peers [4][11].