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中控技术(688777):传统业务仍待复苏,创新业务快速发展
CMS· 2025-10-27 11:17
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company [3][7]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing pressure in its traditional business, with revenue and profit declining in the first three quarters. However, innovative businesses such as robotics, industrial AI, and software subscription models are developing rapidly, with industrial AI starting to achieve scale and robotics revenue exceeding 100 million [1][7]. - The company is projected to have revenues of 90.92 billion, 99.35 billion, and 109.31 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively, with net profits of 11.35 billion, 12.82 billion, and 14.44 billion [7]. Financial Data and Valuation - Total revenue for 2023 is expected to be 86.20 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 30%. However, a decline of 1% is anticipated for 2025 [2][14]. - Operating profit for 2023 is projected at 11.85 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 36% [2][14]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 11.02 billion in 2023, with a year-on-year growth of 38% [2][14]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 1.39 yuan for 2023, with a PE ratio of 37.3 [2][14]. Business Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a total revenue of 56.54 billion, a year-on-year decline of 10.78%, and a net profit of 4.32 billion, down 39.78% year-on-year [7]. - The gross margin for the first three quarters was 31.87%, a decrease of 0.98 percentage points year-on-year [7]. - The company is focusing on innovative business areas, with industrial AI revenue reaching 1.54 billion and robotics revenue at 1.22 billion in the first three quarters [7].